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573 Uptons Landing Rd #79
C- Composite 52.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$212,900

573 Uptons Landing Rd #79 · Marion, NC 28752
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily · 290 Days on market
Built 1960 10,454 sqft lot Est $276k · 23% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on a generous 0.24-acre lot at 573 Uptons Landing in Marion, NC, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is perfect for anyone seeking a blend of comfort and natural beauty. With a metal roof installed in 2022, you can enjoy peace of mind and a modern look. You'll find beautiful hardwood floors flowing throughout the living room and bedrooms, adding warmth and character. Step out from one of the main bedrooms onto a private deck, perfect for enjoying a quiet morning coffee or evening breeze. The property offers two outdoor storage areas, providing ample space for tools and gear. With the current owner paying for the city water connection, you'll have one less thing to worry about.

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Metal roof
  • Near lake james

Tags

METAL ROOFHARDWOOD FLOORSPRIVATE DECKOUTDOOR STORAGE AREASCITY WATER CONNECTIONNEAR LAKE JAMES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Carport with attached driveway; 1 covered space and 1 open parking space
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: City water and well available; Septic system installed; Electricity connected; Cable available; Satellite and wired internet available; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One level; R1 zoning
  • Construction: Partial brick and wood exterior; Metal roof; Basement and crawl space foundation; Basement with dirt floor and walk-out access
  • Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; Creek frontage; Level lot; Concrete, gravel, and paved road surfaces; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Window treatments; Sliding doors; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups; Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry access in bathroom and in carport; Other laundry details listed in remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $213k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($459/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (6.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#93 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nebo Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #835 of 1,410 statewide, top 62%, 339 students, 78% FRL); East Mcdowell Middle School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #299 of 475 statewide, top 64%, 468 students, 78% FRL); Mcdowell High School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C-, #279 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 1,416 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.11%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,520
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
74 Ridge Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+10%) 1mo $292,500 $197 57
128 Ridgewood Way #208 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,258 (-6%) 4mo $285,000 $227 57
170 Lake Mountain View Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+10%) 2mo $304,900 $205 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-31,989
Equity at exit
$31,744
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-24,428
Equity at exit
$18,408

Cash invested: $59,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28752

Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,116
Tax est. 1.5%
$266 /mo · $3,194/yr
Insurance
$89
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,947
Max offer price $212,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $185 -5% $112 +0% $38 +5% $-35 +10% $-109
Rent -10% $-119 -5% $-41 +0% $38 +5% $117 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $146 -0.5pp $92 base $38 +0.5pp $-17 +1.0pp $-73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,225
Closing costs
$6,387
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
120 Barefoot Ridge Dr Marion, NC 2.0 1.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 23d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $212,900 Active 290 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $212,900 Active 288 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $212,900 Active 287 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $212,900 Active 286 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $212,900 Active 285 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $212,900 Active 284 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $212,900 Active 282 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $212,900 Active 281 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $212,900 Active 279 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $212,900 Active 278 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $212,900 Active 277 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $212,900 Active 276 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $212,900 Active 271 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $212,900 Active 270 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $212,900 Active 269 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $212,900 Active 268 DOM
  17. 2026-03-09
    price $212,900
  18. 2026-02-06
    price $222,900
  19. 2025-11-03
    price $233,900
  20. 2025-09-04
    listed $239,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,940
− Mortgage interest
−$11,926
− Property taxes
−$3,194
− Insurance
−$1,862
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,915
− Management
−$1,915
− Depreciation
−$6,193
Taxable loss
−$3,065
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$736
After-tax cash flow
$1,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcdowell County Schools
NCES district ID
3702940
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,769
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5413
State rank
#115 of 178 in NC

Livability — Marion

Score
72/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#6157

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,602
Population (ZIP)
30,602

Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,615 people
By 2030
44,002 · -1.4%
By 2040
42,285 · -5.2%
By 2050
39,906 · -10.6%
By 2075
34,396 · -22.9%
By 2100
27,970 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDowell

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.1% · R 74.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -49.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.2 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.41%
Current HPI
182.9225
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $212,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $222,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $233,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $239,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…