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3923 Ridgewood Ave 🔨 Auction
D+ Composite 46.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

3923 Ridgewood Ave · Baltimore, MD 21215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1910 1,742 sqft lot ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/25/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/29/2026 @11:50 AM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story, porch front townhouse is located in the Dolfield neighborhood of Baltimore city. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Rogers Ave Metro Station and Pimlico Race Track. The property has unknown occupancy. The area provides easy access to major traffic arteries, Garrison Blvd, offering convenient routes to downtown Baltimore and other parts of the metropolitan area. Demolition for the $400 million redevelopment of Pimlic

Key facts

  • Built 1910
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest: Ground Rent; Total below-grade area 768; Above-grade finished area 1,566; Below-grade unfinished area 768; Land assessment listed
  • Financial info: Ground rent: $85 paid semi-annually; Income/expense note: Annual ground rent

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Other foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 24 x 80; Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area source: Assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $30,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $179,393 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 9.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.72%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,393
List price
$30,000
Delta
-83.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3951 Boarman Ave 0.18mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,588 (+1%) 2mo $249,000 $157 77
3811 Belle Ave 0.31mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,616 (+3%) 5mo $270,000 $167 63
3742 Dolfield Ave 0.34mi 3/2.5 1,724 (+10%) 4mo $265,000 $154 58
3911 Bareva Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (+3%) 0mo $112,100 $69 54
5118 Nelson Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-12%) 3mo $219,000 $158 50
3635 Columbus Dr 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,360 (-13%) 4mo $125,000 $92 48
5312 Gist Ave 0.71mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,620 (+3%) 4mo $240,000 $148 47
4311 Chatham Rd 0.54mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (-10%) 6mo $240,000 $171 45
4411 Belvieu Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,696 (+8%) 4mo $190,000 $112 44
4040 Hayward Ave 0.63mi 3/0.5 1,783 (+14%) 4mo $67,500 $38 42
3716 Beehler Ave 0.60mi 4/4.0 (+1) 1,445 (-8%) 3mo $265,000 $183 40
2807 Waldorf Ave 0.69mi 3/3.5 1,762 (+12%) 1mo $200,000 $114 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-20,162
Equity at exit
$26,748
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,899
Equity at exit
$15,511

Cash invested: $50,230 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21215

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,767 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$941
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,569
Max offer price $179,393
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,848
Closing costs
$5,382
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.14mi
3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,200 $1.76 23d 1 0.36mi
5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.60mi
4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,850 $1.54 23d 1 0.65mi
3914 Maine Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 2127 $1,150 $0.54 43d 1 0.69mi
3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 23d 1 0.75mi
4230 Towanda Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 17d 1 0.87mi
4704 Pimlico Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 2006 $1,800 $0.90 23d 1 1.01mi
3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1204 $2,723 $2.26 43d 1 1.03mi
4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,500 $1.02 11d 1 1.05mi
3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1152 $2,200 $1.91 43d 1 1.06mi
3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1791 $2,600 $1.45 43d 1 1.06mi
5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 43d 1 1.07mi
5807 Gist Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 2100 $1,395 $0.66 23d 1 1.12mi
2915 Oakford Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1102 $1,600 $1.45 17d 1 1.14mi
2619 Loyola Northway Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,995 $1.43 23d 1 1.16mi
5115 Pembridge Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,150 $1.98 43d 1 1.21mi
2454 W Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 23d 1 1.27mi
3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 11d 1 1.32mi
3822 Pall Mall Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,875 $1.42 43d 1 1.34mi
2415 Loyola Southway Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,033 $1.69 43d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $30,000 Active 1021-char remark
  15. 2025-11-03
    status Pending
  16. 2025-11-03
    historical
  17. 2025-10-09
    price $45,000
  18. 2025-09-19
    price $51,000
  19. 2025-09-03
    price $54,999
  20. 2025-08-25
    price $63,999
  21. 2025-07-14
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,198
− Mortgage interest
−$10,049
− Property taxes
−$2,691
− Insurance
−$897
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,696
− Management
−$1,696
− Depreciation
−$5,219
Taxable loss
−$1,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$252
After-tax cash flow
$2,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
52,229
Household income
$51,587
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
3644.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.58%
Current HPI
291.4926
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-57.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $54,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $63,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,539 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…