🔨 Auction
3923 Ridgewood Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/25/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/29/2026 @11:50 AM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story, porch front townhouse is located in the Dolfield neighborhood of Baltimore city. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Rogers Ave Metro Station and Pimlico Race Track. The property has unknown occupancy. The area provides easy access to major traffic arteries, Garrison Blvd, offering convenient routes to downtown Baltimore and other parts of the metropolitan area. Demolition for the $400 million redevelopment of Pimlic
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership interest: Ground Rent; Total below-grade area 768; Above-grade finished area 1,566; Below-grade unfinished area 768; Land assessment listed
- Financial info: Ground rent: $85 paid semi-annually; Income/expense note: Annual ground rent
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior; Other foundation; Above grade and below grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 24 x 80; Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area source: Assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 9.0% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.72%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,393
- List price
- $30,000
- Delta
- -83.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3951 Boarman Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,588 (+1%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $157 | 77 |
| 3811 Belle Ave | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,616 (+3%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 3742 Dolfield Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,724 (+10%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $154 | 58 |
| 3911 Bareva Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+3%) | 0mo | $112,100 | $69 | 54 |
| 5118 Nelson Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-12%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 3635 Columbus Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,360 (-13%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $92 | 48 |
| 5312 Gist Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,620 (+3%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $148 | 47 |
| 4311 Chatham Rd | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,404 (-10%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $171 | 45 |
| 4411 Belvieu Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,696 (+8%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $112 | 44 |
| 4040 Hayward Ave | 0.63mi | 3/0.5 | 1,783 (+14%) | 4mo | $67,500 | $38 | 42 |
| 3716 Beehler Ave | 0.60mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 1,445 (-8%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $183 | 40 |
| 2807 Waldorf Ave | 0.69mi | 3/3.5 | 1,762 (+12%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $114 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-20,162
- Equity at exit
- $26,748
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,899
- Equity at exit
- $15,511
Cash invested: $50,230 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21215
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,767 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$941
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $156
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,848
- Closing costs
- $5,382
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3914 Maine Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2127 | $1,150 | $0.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4230 Towanda Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4704 Pimlico Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2006 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,723 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5807 Gist Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2100 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2915 Oakford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2619 Loyola Northway Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5115 Pembridge Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $2,150 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2454 W Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3822 Pall Mall Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,875 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2415 Loyola Southway Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,033 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $30,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $30,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$30,000 Active 1021-char remark
-
2025-11-03status Pending
-
2025-11-03historical
-
2025-10-09price $45,000
-
2025-09-19price $51,000
-
2025-09-03price $54,999
-
2025-08-25price $63,999
-
2025-07-14$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,049
- − Property taxes
- −$2,691
- − Insurance
- −$897
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$5,219
- Taxable loss
- −$1,049
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,229
- Household income
- $51,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3644.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.58%
- Current HPI
- 291.4926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-57.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $54,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $63,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,539 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…