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5401 Yakima Ln SE #61
B+ Composite 76.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

5401 Yakima Ln SE #61 · Lacey, WA 98503
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition Est $118k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Turn-key Lacey living in Mountain Greens all-age community! This beautifully maintained home features a bright, open-concept layout packed with premium upgrades. Enjoy newer vinyl windows, vinyl flooring, recessed lighting, newer heat-pump & water heater, and an updated kitchen with a new stove, fridge, and dishwasher. Both full bathrooms are completely refreshed. Washer, dryer, and window treatments all stay! Exterior highlights: Fully fenced yard with mature, year-round landscaping, a wonderful covered porch built for BBQs, an extra storage shed, a large carport, and a 120 sq ft insulated & powered Hobby Shop with a built-in workbench. Unbeatable Location: Close to Chehalis We

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Newer heat-pump
  • Newer vinyl windows

Tags

TURN-KEY LIVINGOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTNEWER VINYL WINDOWSVINYL FLOORINGRECESSED LIGHTINGNEWER HEAT-PUMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Buyer brokerage compensation offered: 2.5%
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Conventional; Land lease amount applies
  • HOA & community: Located in Mountain Greens manufactured home park; Park approved for sale; Clubhouse in the park; Approximately 174 homes in the park; Senior exemption applies; Pets allowed (see remarks); Land lease applicable

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Community water (City of Lacey); Sewer (City of Lacey); Power: Puget Sound Energy; Cable: Comcast; Internet: Comcast
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; Faces south; Model: Paramount 78 48/24; Make: Bendix; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Metal skirt; Metal/vinyl construction materials; Composition and metal roof; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Open space; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers; Primary bath access (bath off primary)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating and cooling)
  • Interior features: Dining room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Double pane windows; Drapes; Patio/porch/deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $899 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.0% in Lacey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#33 in WA, #581 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
  • North Thurston Public Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #80 of 291 in WA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.10%
Cash-on-cash
35.03%
DSCR
2.56
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,504
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5321 Roslyn Ln SE #10 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 10mo $89,900 $85 69
5250 College St SE #14 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 5mo $155,000 $147 67
5322 Roslyn Ln SE #5 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 12mo $90,000 $85 66
5532 Chelan Ln SE #47 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 18mo $87,500 $70 65
5532 Mountain Greens Ln SE 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 19mo $135,000 $128 63
4500 Ruddell Rd SE #48 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,130 (-2%) 9mo $115,000 $102 57
5215 Mountain Green Ln SE 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+8%) 24mo $160,000 $128 55
4500 Ruddell Rd SE #40 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+12%) 6mo $120,000 $93 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$40,662
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
4.71×
Total profit
$114,213
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98503

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$899

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4950 51st Ln SE Unit F-201 Lacey, WA 2.0 2.0 975 $1,650 $1.69 21d 1 0.32mi
5301 Ivy Hill Ln SE Lacey, WA 2.0 2.0 1361 $2,495 $1.83 43d 1 0.35mi
5216 Ivy Hill Ln SE Lacey, WA 2.0 2.0 1361 $2,595 $1.91 13d 1 0.37mi
5649 46th Ln SE Lacey, WA 3.0 3.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 21d 1 0.47mi
4435 Ruddell Rd SE Lacey, WA 2.0 1.0 856 $2,000 $2.34 13d 1 0.58mi
4625 45th Ave SE Lacey, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 975 $2,030 $2.08 13d 21 0.58mi
5323 Rumac St SE Olympia, WA 2.0 1.5 1012 $2,095 $2.07 43d 1 1.06mi
5203 Rumac St SE Unit A Olympia, WA 2.0 1.5 1012 $2,195 $2.17 43d 1 1.08mi
5938 Danials Loop SE Lacey, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 21d 1 1.14mi
3307 College St SE Lacey, WA 2.0 1.0 865 $1,700 $1.97 13d 3 1.28mi
3301 College St SE Lacey, WA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,845 $2.05 21d 1 1.28mi
7317 Fair Oaks Rd SE Olympia, WA 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,400 $1.92 43d 1 1.39mi
3622 57th Ln SE Olympia, WA 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,999 $1.73 13d 1 1.42mi
5701 30th Ave SE Lacey, WA 2.0 2.0 899 $1,503 $1.67 13d 2 1.44mi
3539 Landview Dr SE Olympia, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1314 $2,295 $1.75 13d 19 1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 691-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,204
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$9,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,306
After-tax cash flow
$8,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This turn-key manufactured home in Mountain Greens is in good condition with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a bright, open-concept layout and is ready for a new owner to move in and enjoy.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Update flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring in bathrooms enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Newer cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Update flooring in bathrooms — Fresh flooring in bathrooms enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Newer cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Thurston Public Schools
NCES district ID
5305850
Math proficiency
51% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$62,338
Composite
51.09/100
National rank
#3798
State rank
#80 of 291 in WA

Livability — Lacey

Score
85/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#581

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lacey, WA
County
Thurston County · 269,345 people
City population
108,850
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
Population (ZIP)
41,656
Household income
$89,002
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
2195.0

Population outlook (Thurston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
308,239 people
By 2030
326,483 · +5.9%
By 2040
359,890 · +16.8%
By 2050
391,800 · +27.1%
By 2075
468,024 · +51.8%
By 2100
519,890 · +68.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 7% Black 5% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Thurston

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.4) · D 58.5% · R 38.1% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 20.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.4 2020: D+18.6 2016: D+15.4 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -385.93%
Current HPI
361.0974
Rent YoY
▲ 3.56%
Metro
Olympia-Lacey-Tumwater, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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