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1721 Bradford Ln
D+ Composite 49.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,900

1721 Bradford Ln · Bessemer, AL 35022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1994 0.25 ac lot $156/sqft · 8% below area Est $266k · 8% under $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this great new listing in Bradford Park! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a split bedroom layout, vaulted ceilings, and a versatile bonus room perfect for an office or dining area. Enjoy new HVAC and new water heater, plus a fenced backyard with a custom shed, all conveniently located near hospital, shopping, and dining. Don't miss out!

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • Bonus room
  • New water heater

Tags

SPLIT BEDROOM LAYOUTBONUS ROOMNEW HVACNEW WATER HEATERFENCED BACKYARDCUSTOM SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $98k; list at $245k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,052 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.06%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,606
List price
$244,900
Delta
-7.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1705 Bradford Ln 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,499 (-4%) 2mo $270,000 $180 88
5397 Summerset Way 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-0%) 4mo $240,100 $154 75
4501 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+3%) 4mo $299,900 $185 74
4456 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+3%) 4mo $314,900 $195 69
4551 Rosser Loop Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-12%) 4mo $253,000 $183 63
4481 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+13%) 5mo $314,400 $177 52
4489 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+13%) 5mo $305,250 $172 52
5563 Post Oak Trl 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+13%) 0mo $350,000 $197 48
4473 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+13%) 4mo $329,900 $186 47
4469 Rosser Farms Pkwy 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+13%) 4mo $319,900 $180 47
1422 Hudson Ave 0.48mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,792 (+14%) 2mo $140,000 $78 43
1311 Fulton Dr 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,395 (-11%) 6mo $164,000 $118 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-17,605
Equity at exit
$36,515
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$48,879
Equity at exit
$21,174

Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,091 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,284
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $929/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,869
Max offer price $244,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,225
Closing costs
$7,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5124 Candle Brook Ter Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1925 $1,990 $1.03 3d 1 0.35mi
4737 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,886 $1.15 2d 1 0.44mi
5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,050 $1.27 2d 1 1.07mi
505 Westchester Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,850 $1.08 44d 1 1.24mi
63 Carriage House Rd SW Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,780 $0.99 16d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $244,900 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $244,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $244,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $244,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $244,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $244,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $244,900 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $244,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 353-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $244,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,900 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $254,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-03-02
    listed $254,900 Active 352-char remark
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    Check out this great new listing in Bradford Park! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a split bedroom layout, vaulted ceilings, and a versatile bonus room perfect for an office or dining area. Enjoy new HVAC and new water heater, plus a fenced backyard with a custom shed, all conveniently located near hospital, shopping, and dining. Don't miss out!

  16. 1995-04-21
    soldstatus $97,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$929 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,004 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$75/yr (+$6/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,086
− Mortgage interest
−$13,718
− Property taxes
−$929
− Insurance
−$1,224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,007
− Management
−$2,007
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$7,124
Taxable loss
−$2,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$499
After-tax cash flow
$2,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $254,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1995-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $97,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $929 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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