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909 P NW
C+ Composite 63.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

909 P NW · Ardmore, OK 73401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1970 6,970 sqft lot Est $223k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.

Key facts

  • Remodeled flooring
  • Freshly painted
  • Bonus sunroom

Tags

REMODELED FLOORINGBONUS SUNROOMFULL ELECTRIC STORAGE BUILDINGFRESHLY PAINTEDNEW LIGHT FIXTURES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Carport
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built with brick, concrete, and wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Property faces east

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate countertops; Aluminum window frames; Storm windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $104k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.59%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,642
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1901 7th Ave NW 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,721 (+3%) 1mo $200,000 $116 78
1305 7th Ave NW 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,569 (-6%) 4mo $45,000 $29 70
936 Sioux 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,886 (+13%) 1mo $252,000 $134 62
1731 Tower Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-9%) 1mo $120,000 $79 61
1524 Persimmon Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-3%) 4mo $240,000 $148 56
705 10th Ave NW 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,596 (-5%) 5mo $85,000 $53 56
929 NW Cheyenne St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-14%) 0mo $208,000 $144 55
917 Cheyenne St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-13%) 8mo $235,500 $162 49
2410 Woodleaf 0.70mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,778 (+6%) 1mo $280,000 $157 45
901 Wolverton 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,854 (+11%) 3mo $110,000 $59 43
1009 Davis NW 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,492 (-11%) 7mo $103,000 $69 43
1017 Maxwell 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-12%) 7mo $195,000 $133 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,071
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$52,505
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73401

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
381
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,509/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,090
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $297 +0% $260 +5% $224 +10% $187
Rent -10% $148 -5% $204 +0% $260 +5% $317 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $294 base $260 +0.5pp $227 +1.0pp $193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
  18. 2026-03-31
    price $129,900
  19. 2026-03-03
    listed $139,000 Active
  20. 2020-03-09
    soldstatus $104,500 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.

  21. 2019-12-12
    listed $101,500 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.

  22. 2016-12-21
    soldstatus $90,000
  23. 2016-12-19
    soldstatus $89,900 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    3BR brick home in convenient location. 2 car carport, 2 spacious living areas, large utility room, and kitchen/dining combo. The second living area (sun room) overlooks the fenced back yard. 3 storage buildings/work shops. Small fenced area within the fence.

  24. 2016-08-24
    listed $90,000 258-char remark
    Show marketing remark (258 chars)

    3BR brick home in convenient location. 2 car carport, 2 spacious living areas, large utility room, and kitchen/dining combo. The second living area (sun room) overlooks the fenced back yard. 3 storage buildings/work shops. Small fenced area within the fence.

  25. 2013-10-22
    soldstatus $67,500
  26. 2012-05-02
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,509 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,509 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,036
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,509
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,363
− Management
−$1,363
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,097
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$263
After-tax cash flow
$2,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ardmore
NCES district ID
4003180
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,194
Composite
11.1/100
National rank
#9733
State rank
#241 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ardmore

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ardmore, OK
County
Carter County · 36,833 people
City population
36,833
Metro
Ardmore, OK
Population (ZIP)
36,833
Household income
$61,989
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
1026.0

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.93%
Current HPI
269.7381
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Ardmore, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2020-03-09 Sold (MLS) $104,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2019-12-12 Listed $101,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-19 Sold (MLS) $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-08-24 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2013-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
  • 2012-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,509 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…