909 P NW · Ardmore, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.
Key facts
- Remodeled flooring
- Freshly painted
- Bonus sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Carport
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built with brick, concrete, and wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Property faces east
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Range; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate countertops; Aluminum window frames; Storm windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $104k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.59%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,642
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1901 7th Ave NW | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,721 (+3%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $116 | 78 |
| 1305 7th Ave NW | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (-6%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $29 | 70 |
| 936 Sioux | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,886 (+13%) | 1mo | $252,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 1731 Tower Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,528 (-9%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $79 | 61 |
| 1524 Persimmon Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-3%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $148 | 56 |
| 705 10th Ave NW | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-5%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $53 | 56 |
| 929 NW Cheyenne St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-14%) | 0mo | $208,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 917 Cheyenne St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-13%) | 8mo | $235,500 | $162 | 49 |
| 2410 Woodleaf | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,778 (+6%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $157 | 45 |
| 901 Wolverton | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,854 (+11%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $59 | 43 |
| 1009 Davis NW | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,492 (-11%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $69 | 43 |
| 1017 Maxwell | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-12%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $133 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,071
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $52,505
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73401
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 381
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $297 | +0% $260 | +5% $224 | +10% $187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $204 | +0% $260 | +5% $317 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $294 | base $260 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $129,900
-
2026-03-03$139,000 Active
-
2020-03-09soldstatus $104,500 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.
-
2019-12-12$101,500 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Looking for an affordable home in Lincoln school district. We have one for you! This beauty has completely remodeled floors & is one you must see! 3 Bedroom 2 baths with bonus sun room and full electric storage building. All appliances will stay except washer and dryer. Freshly painted and new light fixtures.
-
2016-12-21soldstatus $90,000
-
2016-12-19soldstatus $89,900 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
3BR brick home in convenient location. 2 car carport, 2 spacious living areas, large utility room, and kitchen/dining combo. The second living area (sun room) overlooks the fenced back yard. 3 storage buildings/work shops. Small fenced area within the fence.
-
2016-08-24$90,000 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
3BR brick home in convenient location. 2 car carport, 2 spacious living areas, large utility room, and kitchen/dining combo. The second living area (sun room) overlooks the fenced back yard. 3 storage buildings/work shops. Small fenced area within the fence.
-
2013-10-22soldstatus $67,500
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2012-05-02soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,509 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,509
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,363
- − Management
- −$1,363
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,097
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$263
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ardmore
- NCES district ID
- 4003180
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,194
- Composite
- 11.1/100
- National rank
- #9733
- State rank
- #241 of 270 in OK
Livability — Ardmore
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21387
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ardmore, OK
- County
- Carter County · 36,833 people
- City population
- 36,833
- Metro
- Ardmore, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,833
- Household income
- $61,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1026.0
Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,892 people
- By 2030
- 51,913 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 53,857 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 55,604 · +9.3%
- By 2075
- 60,670 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 62,366 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Carter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.93%
- Current HPI
- 269.7381
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Ardmore, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+159.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-03 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-03-09 Sold (MLS) $104,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-12-12 Listed $101,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-19 Sold (MLS) $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-08-24 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2013-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 2012-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,509 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…