CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
290 Wisteria Dr
B+ Composite 75.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

290 Wisteria Dr · West Livingston, TX 77351
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured public records · 335 Days on market
Built 1981 0.33 ac lot $71/sqft · 49% below area Est $133k · 49% under $4/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

Key facts

  • Nearby park
  • Vinyl plank flooring
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

QUARTZ KITCHEN ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESVINYL PLANK FLOORINGFRONT AND BACK PORCHESNEIGHBORHOOD BOAT RAMPNEARBY PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 2.5% in West Livingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,501 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Livingston ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #459 of 826 in TX (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1186 active listings in the ZIP; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $68k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $59,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.04%
Cash-on-cash
31.23%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,000
List price
$68,000
Delta
-48.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$20,537
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$58,516
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77351

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Active inventory
1186
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $618/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$4
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$495

Break-even live

Break-even rent $558
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$4 · $48/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 335 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 334 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 333 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 332 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 326 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 325 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 324 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $68,000 Active 321 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 320 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 319 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 318 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 317 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    price $68,000 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

  14. 2025-08-28
    status Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

  15. 2025-08-28
    price $70,000 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

  16. 2025-08-06
    historical 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

  17. 2025-06-26
    listed $84,900 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Thoughtfully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home on two cleared lots in a peaceful lakeside community. The renovated interior features a quartz kitchen island, stainless steel appliances, vinyl plank flooring, and plush carpet in the bedrooms. Front and back porches offer great space for relaxing or entertaining outdoors. Enjoy nearby access to a neighborhood boat ramp and park, with shopping and dining just a short drive away in Livingston. A great opportunity to enjoy comfort, convenience, and a laid-back lake area lifestyle.

  18. 2023-02-10
    soldstatus
  19. 2017-10-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2006-11-23
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$618 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$626/yr (+$52/mo · 101.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,217
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$618
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,137
− Management
−$1,137
− HOA
−$48
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$5,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,236
After-tax cash flow
$4,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Livingston ISD
NCES district ID
4827780
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$39,531
Composite
32.25/100
National rank
#5767
State rank
#459 of 826 in TX

Livability — West Livingston

Score
50/100
State rank
#1501
US rank
#25668

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Livingston, TX
County
Polk County · 37,143 people
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
37,143
Household income
$66,834
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
608.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,049 people
By 2030
53,243 · +4.3%
By 2040
56,528 · +10.7%
By 2050
59,243 · +16.1%
By 2075
63,528 · +24.4%
By 2100
60,376 · +18.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.5 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.11%
Current HPI
178.5316
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+750.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $68,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Listed $84,900 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $618 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…