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49 Ryan Rd
B Composite 72.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$250,000

49 Ryan Rd · Windham, NY 12444
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 844 sqft · SingleFamily · 215 Days on market
Built 1945 Fair condition 1.00 ac lot $296/sqft · 31% below area Est $363k · 31% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this hidden gem nestled on an acre of picturesque land in Jewett, NY. This ranch-style home offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views. Conveniently located in close proximity to the renowned ski slopes of Hunter and Windham Mountains. Perfect for avid skiers or those looking to enjoy the cozy ambiance of mountain resort. Delight in local shops, restaurants, and community events, which is just a short drive away from the charming villages of Windham, Hunter, and Tannersville. This property provides a perfect blend of seclusion and accessibility. Enjoy the stunning backdrop of mountain views that change with the seasons. Nature enthusiasts will appreciate the close proximity to hiking trails, serene creeks, inviting swimming holes, and pristine lakes. Whether you're an avid hiker or simply enjoy the tranquility of nature, this location offers an abundance of outdoor adventures. While the home requires TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and customization. Imagine transforming this property into your dream retreat or vacation home. Don't miss the chance to own this unique property, offering a blend of natural beauty and potential.

Key facts

  • Serene creeks
  • Ski slopes
  • Hiking trails

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSSKI SLOPESLOCAL SHOPSHIKING TRAILSSERENE CREEKSSWIMMING HOLES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.4% in Windham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#964 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
  • Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #517 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $220,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.28%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$362,664
List price
$250,000
Delta
-31.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$17,221
Equity at exit
$58,031
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$82,475
Equity at exit
$58,986

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12444

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$619
Net cashflow
$599

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $772 -5% $686 +0% $599 +5% $513 +10% $427
Rent -10% $367 -5% $483 +0% $599 +5% $716 +10% $832
Rate -1.0pp $725 -0.5pp $663 base $599 +0.5pp $535 +1.0pp $469

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1232 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem nestled on an acre of picturesque land in Jewett, NY. This ranch-style home offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views. Conveniently located in close proximity to the renowned ski slopes of Hunter and Windham Mountains. Perfect for avid skiers or those looking to enjoy the cozy ambiance of mountain resort. Delight in local shops, restaurants, and community events, which is just a short drive away from the charming villages of Windham, Hunter, and Tannersville. This property provides a perfect blend of seclusion and accessibility. Enjoy the stunning backdrop of mountain views that change with the seasons. Nature enthusiasts will appreciate the close proximity to hiking trails, serene creeks, inviting swimming holes, and pristine lakes. Whether you're an avid hiker or simply enjoy the tranquility of nature, this location offers an abundance of outdoor adventures. While the home requires TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and customization. Imagine transforming this property into your dream retreat or vacation home. Don't miss the chance to own this unique property, offering a blend of natural beauty and potential.

  2. 2026-04-10
    status Active 1232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1232 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem nestled on an acre of picturesque land in Jewett, NY. This ranch-style home offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views. Conveniently located in close proximity to the renowned ski slopes of Hunter and Windham Mountains. Perfect for avid skiers or those looking to enjoy the cozy ambiance of mountain resort. Delight in local shops, restaurants, and community events, which is just a short drive away from the charming villages of Windham, Hunter, and Tannersville. This property provides a perfect blend of seclusion and accessibility. Enjoy the stunning backdrop of mountain views that change with the seasons. Nature enthusiasts will appreciate the close proximity to hiking trails, serene creeks, inviting swimming holes, and pristine lakes. Whether you're an avid hiker or simply enjoy the tranquility of nature, this location offers an abundance of outdoor adventures. While the home requires TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and customization. Imagine transforming this property into your dream retreat or vacation home. Don't miss the chance to own this unique property, offering a blend of natural beauty and potential.

  3. 2026-04-10
    historical 1232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1232 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem nestled on an acre of picturesque land in Jewett, NY. This ranch-style home offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views. Conveniently located in close proximity to the renowned ski slopes of Hunter and Windham Mountains. Perfect for avid skiers or those looking to enjoy the cozy ambiance of mountain resort. Delight in local shops, restaurants, and community events, which is just a short drive away from the charming villages of Windham, Hunter, and Tannersville. This property provides a perfect blend of seclusion and accessibility. Enjoy the stunning backdrop of mountain views that change with the seasons. Nature enthusiasts will appreciate the close proximity to hiking trails, serene creeks, inviting swimming holes, and pristine lakes. Whether you're an avid hiker or simply enjoy the tranquility of nature, this location offers an abundance of outdoor adventures. While the home requires TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and customization. Imagine transforming this property into your dream retreat or vacation home. Don't miss the chance to own this unique property, offering a blend of natural beauty and potential.

  4. 2025-10-09
    listed $250,000 Active 1232-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1232 chars)

    Welcome to this hidden gem nestled on an acre of picturesque land in Jewett, NY. This ranch-style home offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views. Conveniently located in close proximity to the renowned ski slopes of Hunter and Windham Mountains. Perfect for avid skiers or those looking to enjoy the cozy ambiance of mountain resort. Delight in local shops, restaurants, and community events, which is just a short drive away from the charming villages of Windham, Hunter, and Tannersville. This property provides a perfect blend of seclusion and accessibility. Enjoy the stunning backdrop of mountain views that change with the seasons. Nature enthusiasts will appreciate the close proximity to hiking trails, serene creeks, inviting swimming holes, and pristine lakes. Whether you're an avid hiker or simply enjoy the tranquility of nature, this location offers an abundance of outdoor adventures. While the home requires TLC, it presents an excellent opportunity for renovation and customization. Imagine transforming this property into your dream retreat or vacation home. Don't miss the chance to own this unique property, offering a blend of natural beauty and potential.

  5. 2025-07-07
    historical
  6. 2024-09-06
    listed $280,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,349
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,750
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,828
− Management
−$2,828
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$3,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$820
After-tax cash flow
$6,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This ranch-style home in Windham, NY, requires significant updates to its exterior, interior, and systems to improve its condition and value. The property offers a unique opportunity for those seeking a tranquil escape with breathtaking mountain views, but it needs substantial work to be move-in ready.

Repairs flagged

  • Major siding — Significant wear and tear on the exterior siding.
  • Major paint — Worn and outdated paint on the exterior and interior.
  • Major flooring — Worn carpet in the living room and kitchen.
  • Major kitchen appliances — Outdated appliances and cabinets in the kitchen.
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Outdated fixtures and tile in the bathroom.
  • Major HVAC — No visible systems, but the house appears to be in need of updates to the HVAC system.
  • Major electrical — No visible systems, but the house appears to be in need of updates to the electrical system.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating the exterior and interior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances and cabinets — Modern appliances and updated cabinets can enhance the functionality and value of the home.
  • Both Updating the bathroom fixtures and tile — Modern fixtures and updated tile can improve the functionality and value of the home.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC and electrical systems — Modern systems can improve the comfort and energy efficiency of the home, increasing its value.
  • Both Landscaping and fencing — A well-maintained yard and updated fencing can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Re-carpeting the living room and kitchen — Fresh carpet can improve the comfort and value of the home, especially for potential renters.
  • Both Updating the interior walls and paint — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, increasing the home's value.
  • Both Upgrading the windows — Modern windows can improve the energy efficiency and curb appeal of the home, increasing its value.
  • Both Upgrading the roof — A new roof can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the comfort and value of the home, especially for potential renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
siding · Significant wear and tear on the exterior siding. Major $15,000–50,000
paint · Worn and outdated paint on the exterior and interior. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn carpet in the living room and kitchen. Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · Outdated appliances and cabinets in the kitchen. Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Outdated fixtures and tile in the bathroom. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC · No visible systems, but the house appears to be in need of updates to the HVAC system. Major $15,000–50,000
electrical · No visible systems, but the house appears to be in need of updates to the electrical system. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating the exterior and interior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances and cabinets — Modern appliances and updated cabinets can enhance the functionality and value of the home.
  • Both Updating the bathroom fixtures and tile — Modern fixtures and updated tile can improve the functionality and value of the home.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC and electrical systems — Modern systems can improve the comfort and energy efficiency of the home, increasing its value.
  • Both Landscaping and fencing — A well-maintained yard and updated fencing can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both Re-carpeting the living room and kitchen — Fresh carpet can improve the comfort and value of the home, especially for potential renters.
  • Both Updating the interior walls and paint — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, increasing the home's value.
  • Both Upgrading the windows — Modern windows can improve the energy efficiency and curb appeal of the home, increasing its value.
  • Both Upgrading the roof — A new roof can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the comfort and value of the home, especially for potential renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District
NCES district ID
3631590
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,942
Composite
42.57/100
National rank
#6842
State rank
#517 of 755 in NY

Livability — Windham

Score
60/100
State rank
#964
US rank
#18888

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
519

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,963 people
By 2030
43,126 · -4.1%
By 2040
38,756 · -13.8%
By 2050
34,913 · -22.4%
By 2075
28,156 · -37.4%
By 2100
22,296 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Two or more races 38% Hispanic / Latino 34%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.19%
Current HPI
483.4459
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-07 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-06 Listed $280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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