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3818 Bonita St
C Composite 55.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

3818 Bonita St · Kingsport, TN 37664
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2000 7,840 sqft lot Est $206k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking to downsize? Need a move-in ready affordable home convenient to shopping, restaurants, doctors, and schools? Then you'll want to come see this adorable cottage today! Freshly painted, newer carpet, fully applianced kitchen, large laundry room, and walk-in closets are just a few of the wonderful features of this home. Exterior has been handicapped modified for easy access to home. Come see it today! All info taken from courthouse records. With acceptable offer, sellers will provide home warranty. Buyers/buyer's agent to verify.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Laundry mud room
  • Detached patio

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHPRIVATE BACKYARD RETREATDETACHED PATIOLAUNDRY MUD ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R 4

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with asphalt surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; House with two levels; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Facing/orientation not specified; Entry level not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built year not specified
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Shed(s); Level and sloped topography

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Cooling via heat pump and window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (3.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (3.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Kingsport (urban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #26 of 139 in TN (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elementary School (math 41% / reading 43%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Ross N. Robinson Middle School (math 42% / reading 40%, grade F, #37 of 333 statewide, top 12%, 955 students, 0% FRL); Dobyns - Bennett High School (math 23% / reading 56%, grade F, #28 of 332 statewide, top 9%, 2,514 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $81k; list at $189k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $183,227 (3.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.76%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3988 Memorial Blvd 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-3%) 2mo $126,900 $126 86
2301 Inglewood Dr 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-3%) 11mo $200,000 $198 74
2122 Hawthorne St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 966 (-7%) 11mo $155,000 $160 71
3361 Hillcrest Dr 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,010 (-3%) 9mo $177,500 $176 65
3806 Bonita St 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 886 (-15%) 1mo $209,000 $236 64
1704 Fairhaven Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+2%) 23mo $200,000 $189 59
2324 Amy Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 896 (-14%) 2mo $205,000 $229 58
2320 Woodridge Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 884 (-15%) 6mo $175,000 $198 51
3931 Bond Dr 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (+10%) 21mo $210,105 $184 51
3528 Crestwood Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,178 (+13%) 11mo $250,777 $213 48
3236 Ashley St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 953 (-8%) 4mo $238,000 $250 47
2356 Inglewood Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+15%) 10mo $220,000 $184 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-13,122
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$14,898
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37664

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,832 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,481/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,510
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2110 Hawthorne St Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 21d 1 0.04mi
2025 Sherwood Rd Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 754 $750 $0.99 21d 1 1.47mi
2117 Sherwood Rd Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 754 $1,300 $1.72 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $189,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $189,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed $199,000 Active
  19. 2016-03-03
    soldstatus $81,200
  20. 2016-02-29
    soldstatus $81,200 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Looking to downsize? Need a move-in ready affordable home convenient to shopping, restaurants, doctors, and schools? Then you'll want to come see this adorable cottage today! Freshly painted, newer carpet, fully applianced kitchen, large laundry room, and walk-in closets are just a few of the wonderful features of this home. Exterior has been handicapped modified for easy access to home. Come see it today! All info taken from courthouse records. With acceptable offer, sellers will provide home warranty. Buyers/buyer's agent to verify.

  21. 2015-10-23
    listed $82,900 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Looking to downsize? Need a move-in ready affordable home convenient to shopping, restaurants, doctors, and schools? Then you'll want to come see this adorable cottage today! Freshly painted, newer carpet, fully applianced kitchen, large laundry room, and walk-in closets are just a few of the wonderful features of this home. Exterior has been handicapped modified for easy access to home. Come see it today! All info taken from courthouse records. With acceptable offer, sellers will provide home warranty. Buyers/buyer's agent to verify.

  22. 2001-01-30
    soldstatus $37,516
  23. 2001-01-30
    soldstatus $37,516

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,481 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,481 · $123/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,987
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,481
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,759
− Management
−$1,759
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$42
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10
After-tax cash flow
$3,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingsport
NCES district ID
4702190
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,017
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6233
State rank
#26 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kingsport

Score
71/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#6587

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingsport, TN
County
Sullivan County · 121,987 people
City population
83,493
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Population (ZIP)
28,267
Household income
$63,653
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
739.0

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,030 people
By 2030
156,415 · -0.4%
By 2040
153,778 · -2.1%
By 2050
149,018 · -5.1%
By 2075
138,068 · -12.1%
By 2100
119,927 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.12%
Current HPI
261.7474
Rent YoY
▲ 3.73%
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+430.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $199,000 TVRMLS
  • 2016-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $81,200 Public Records
  • 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $81,200 TVRMLS
  • 2015-10-23 Listed $82,900 TVRMLS
  • 2001-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $37,516 Public Records
  • 2001-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $37,516 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,481 · +59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…