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618 E Parkway Ave
C Composite 56.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$8,500

618 E Parkway Ave · Flint, MI 48505
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 666 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1952 4,792 sqft lot Est $13k · 33% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 231 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (41 x 120)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($906 rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 95.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $286 of equity ($59 loan paydown + $227 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $7,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.66%
Cap rate
95.81%
Cash-on-cash
319.72%
DSCR
15.23
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$12,654
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
409 E Lyndon Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 672 (+1%) 6mo $4,500 $7 86
726 E Parkway Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 641 (-4%) 7mo $44,000 $69 81
421 E Home Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 674 (+1%) 12mo $13,000 $19 71
203 E Stewart Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 670 (+1%) 10mo $37,000 $55 61
522 Austin St 0.48mi 2/1.0 677 (+2%) 22mo $4,000 $6 56
242 E Foss Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 692 (+4%) 6mo $14,900 $22 56
257 E Piper Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 720 (+8%) 13mo $7,000 $10 53
414 E Lorado Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 700 (+5%) 16mo $12,700 $18 50
510 E Lorado Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 763 (+15%) 13mo $25,000 $33 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.35×
Total profit
$41,293
Equity at exit
$3,667
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
39.08×
Total profit
$90,622
Equity at exit
$5,534

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $405/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $104
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 25%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $8,500 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $8,500 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $8,500 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $8,500 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $8,500 Active 226 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $8,500 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $8,500 Active 223 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $8,500 Active 222 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $8,500 Active 221 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $8,500 Active 220 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $8,500 Active 217 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,500 Active 216 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $8,500 Active 215 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,500 Active 214 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,500 Active 213 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $8,500 Active 212 DOM
  17. 2025-12-16
    price $8,500 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  18. 2025-12-15
    price $8,500
  19. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  20. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$405 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$405 · $34/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,876
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$405
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$870
− Management
−$870
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$7,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,912
After-tax cash flow
$5,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-54.8%/yr

Latest (2015): $405 · -54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…