Duplex
950 E 223rd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$575,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Semi Attached 2-family home with large unoccupied units in need of a total gut renovation! A contractor's delight, sold as is! All Offers Must Be Submitted With Proof of Funds! 1ST Floor (requires cleanout) 4 bedroos 1 bathroom 2nd Floor (empty) 4 bedroom 1 bathroom Basement (requires cleanout) Has bathroom with sink and toilet. Has good storage space or can be a gameroom/playroom. OPEN HOUSE Sunday, June 14, 2026 12noon to 3pm
Key facts
- Built 1960
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed in building
- Financial info: Details not provided
- HOA & community: Association fees billed monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Details not provided
- Security: Details not provided
- Utilities: Details not provided
- Home design: Two stories; Building name: Walker
- Construction: Details not provided
- Exterior features: Private outdoor space under 60 sq ft
Interior
- Kitchen: Details not provided
- Bedrooms: Details not provided
- Flooring: Details not provided
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Details not provided
- Interior features: Total of 10 rooms; Two-unit building
- Laundry & utility: No building laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $575k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $575k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,434/mo this rent would consume 135% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $161k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $176k; list at $575k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.41%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $956,480
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679 E 221st St | 0.49mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,320 (-5%) | 2mo | $1,000,000 | $431 | 60 |
| 760 E 221st St | 0.33mi | 7/— (-1) | 2,100 (-14%) | 1mo | $824,000 | $392 | 56 |
| 756 E 225th St | 0.34mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,786 (+14%) | 4mo | $950,000 | $341 | 50 |
| 646 E 228 St | 0.60mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,348 (-4%) | 14mo | $655,000 | $279 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $38,509
- Equity at exit
- $85,734
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $203,121
- Equity at exit
- $49,715
Cash invested: $161,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,434 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,015
- Tax from tax record
- −$550 /mo · $6,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$240
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,561
- Net cashflow
- $2,067
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1.2 | $7,434 |
| #1 | 4 | 1.2 | $3,717 |
| #2 | 4 | 1.2 | $3,717 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,434 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $143,750
- Closing costs
- $17,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $575,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $575,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $575,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $575,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $575,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 446-char remark
-
2026-06-08$575,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,606 · $550/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,162 · $680/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,556/yr (+$130/mo · 23.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $89,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$32,209
- − Property taxes
- −$6,606
- − Insurance
- −$2,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,137
- − Management
- −$7,137
- − Depreciation
- −$16,727
- Taxable income
- $16,518
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,964
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,845/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+226.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $575,000 RLS at REBNY
- 1997-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,606 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…