974 Manton Ave · Providence, RI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STARTER HOME OR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! SOLID 4-5 BED BUNGALO, 2 BATHS, LIVING ROOM/DINING AREA, NEW VINYL SIDING, NEW ROOF, NEW OIL TANK, PART FINISHED LOWER W/ WALKOUT, 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE! SELLER TO CREDIT $5,000 TO BUYER AT CLOSING!!!
Key facts
- Strong curb appeal
- Prime location
- Spacious layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 covered space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Separate electric meters; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Attached property
- Construction: Drywall and wood siding exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Water heater (listed under equipment)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (First level); Bedroom 2 (First level); Bedroom 3 (First level); Bedroom 4 (Second level); Bedroom 5 (Second level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Storm door(s); Interior steps; Tub with shower
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $324k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
- Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,239/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2000% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $350k implies a 1173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.63%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $364,818
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Archer Ave | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,622 (+9%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 31 Becker Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,664 (+12%) | 23mo | $410,000 | $246 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-45,954
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-19,604
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02909
- Home prices YoY
- -13.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,239 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$444 /mo · $5,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$680
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $232 | +0% $133 | +5% $34 | +10% $-65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-123 | -5% $5 | +0% $133 | +5% $261 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $309 | -0.5pp $222 | base $133 | +0.5pp $42 | +1.0pp $-50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Killingly St #1 Johnston, RI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,850 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1035 Atwells Ave Unit 2 Providence, RI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,950 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-05days on market $350,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-02remarks 475-char remark
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2026-06-02$350,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,330 · $444/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,518 · $460/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$5,330
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,109
- − Management
- −$3,109
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$4,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Providence
- NCES district ID
- 4400900
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,197
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9803
- State rank
- #34 of 39 in RI
Livability — Providence
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #794
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Providence, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 212,734
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,014
- Household income
- $64,649
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2000.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 23% White 22% Black 12% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Russian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.78%
- Current HPI
- 474.9956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.68%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+324.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $350,000 RIS
- 2019-09-20 Price Changed $167,000 RIS
- 2016-11-08 Price Changed $81,000 RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $50,500 RIS
- 2013-12-19 Price Changed $129,900 RIS
- 2011-11-18 Sold (MLS) $27,500 RIS
- 2011-06-09 Listed $73,500 RIS
- 2010-04-20 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2009-09-22 Listed $159,900 RIS
- 2008-03-26 Sold (MLS) $146,000 RIS
- 2008-01-23 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2007-08-05 Listed $174,900 RIS
- 2007-07-31 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2007-07-24 Listed $179,900 RIS
- 2001-01-31 Listing Removed — RIS
- 2000-07-18 Listed $82,500 RIS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,330 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…