69333 Palm Canyon Dr #169 · Cathedral City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
An outstanding opportunity to acquire the Crown Jewel of the community. One of Sungate's most admired homes is available featuring an exceptional setting that affords privacy and gorgeous mountain views. Live intentionally in this light filled home with an expansive covered outdoor living room with fabulous views that is the envy of all. Features include a gorgeous center island kitchen with bay window dining area. Living room features attractive built-ins and architectural windows that capture the mountain top views. Queen sized bedroom has built-in nightstands, generous closet with built in dresser and drawers. This home has storage galore! Sungate is a premier 55+community with an exce
Key facts
- Mountain views
- Built-ins
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rent includes trash collection and water; Possession at close of escrow; Park name: Sungate; Directions: Enter Sungate gate off Palm Canyon Drive
- Financial info: Land lease (lease) — annual land lease $1,152; Private transfer taxes apply
- HOA & community: Clubhouse; Pool; Gated community; Exercise room; Other community amenities; Association dues: $238/month; Association fees include water and clubhouse; 218 total units in the community; Senior park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; One covered parking space
- Security: Gated
- Utilities: Water included in rent; Trash collection included in rent
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story; Mobile home will remain on site; Located in a senior park (Sungate)
- Construction: Mobile home (make: Secret); License #1: 1HX9865
- Exterior features: Tile covered patio; Community pool (in-ground, heated); Community spa (heated); Has mountain views; Gated community
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Convection oven; Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: Shower stall; One 3/4 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Built-in storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry: other (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 525 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.91%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $110,000
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69333 Palm Canyon Dr #169 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $285 | 100 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #33 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $96,000 | $240 | 97 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #20 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $163 | 97 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #150 | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $163 | 96 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #73 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $138 | 96 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #82 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $188 | 92 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #32 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 14mo | $142,000 | $355 | 88 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #85 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $288 | 87 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #28 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $300 | 84 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #207 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $275 | 84 |
| 69333 E Palm Canyon Dr #22 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 24mo | $128,000 | $320 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,676
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $43,057
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 525
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,866 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$238
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $496 | -5% $455 | +0% $414 | +5% $373 | +10% $332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $267 | -5% $340 | +0% $414 | +5% $488 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $444 | base $414 | +0.5pp $383 | +1.0pp $352 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37219 Melrose Dr Cathedral City, CA | — | 1.0 | 300 | $1,295 | $4.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 36291 Corte Aguila Cathedral City, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 250 | $1,800 | $7.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $238 · $2,856/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-04-24historical Backup Offers Accepted
-
2026-04-08price $119,000
-
2026-02-15$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,792
- − Management
- −$1,792
- − HOA
- −$2,856
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $3,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$828
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Cathedral City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #11749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathedral City, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 52,267
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1682.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — TheMLS
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — TheMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $119,000 TheMLS
- 2026-02-15 Listed $125,000 TheMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2014): $178 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…