1531 S 28th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for your next investment property? You?ve found it! Located just south of Omaha, just over the river, this property offers strong upside potential and plenty of square footage to work with.
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Built 1922
- Listed 100 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $210k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,008
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -7.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-11,347
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $27,344
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68106
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,145 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,314/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $313
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 S 24th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,150 | $1.25 | 3d | 5 | 0.49mi |
| 806 Park Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $2,395 | $1.45 | 23d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 554 S 26th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1484 | $1,400 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 542 S 29th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1442 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 528 S 26th Ave Ste B Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1748 | $1,650 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3403 Arbor St Omaha, NE | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2211 Howard St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 837 | $2,410 | $2.88 | 3d | 48 | 0.86mi |
| 3001 Harney St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $2,395 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 629 S 19th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3124 S 21st St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,745 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3209 S 32nd Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 206 S 19th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 918 | $1,935 | $2.11 | 3d | 60 | 1.16mi |
| 3940 Arbor St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4015 Marcy St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,695 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 411 S 38th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $1,995 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 106 S 36th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1750 | $2,275 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 132 N 35th Ave Omaha, NE | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1959 | $2,550 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4228 Mayberry St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 110 N 38th St Unit 110 Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3919 Farnam St Unit 3915 Farnam Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2929 California St Omaha, NE | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1280 | $3,340 | $2.61 | 3d | 118 | 1.46mi |
| 1919 Dahlman Rows Plz Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $2,800 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 303 N 38th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $1,995 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 337-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-16remarks 264-char remark
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2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-03-10$210,000 New 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Are you looking for your next investment property? You?ve found it! Located just south of Omaha, just over the river, this property offers strong upside potential and plenty of square footage to work with.
-
2023-05-19soldstatus $73,000
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2013-04-02soldstatus $73,000
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2013-03-28soldstatus $72,500
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2013-02-16historical
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2012-10-08$79,000
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2001-01-19soldstatus $97,865
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2001-01-15soldstatus $97,865
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2000-12-13historical
-
2000-10-27$97,865
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,314 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,633 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,319/yr (+$110/mo · 57.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,314
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,059
- − Management
- −$2,059
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $387
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,664/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,224
- Household income
- $69,806
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1402.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.80%
- Current HPI
- 261.1403
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+114.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $210,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 2013-03-28 Sold (MLS) $72,500 GPRMLS
- 2013-02-16 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2012-10-08 Listed $79,000 GPRMLS
- 2001-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $97,865 Public Records
- 2001-01-15 Sold (MLS) $97,865 GPRMLS
- 2000-12-13 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2000-10-27 Listed $97,865 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,314 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…