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19 John St
B Composite 70.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.9/10.0

$51,000

19 John St · Uniontown, PA 15401
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1930 5,662 sqft lot $34/sqft · 67% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Alert! Large 4 bedroom home situated on corner lot.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $51k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#750 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Uniontown Area SD (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #392 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lafayette El Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 259 students, 89% FRL); Lafayette Ms (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 149 students, 95% FRL); Uniontown Area Shs (math 77%, 668 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 56% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Uniontown Area SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,410 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
18.09%
Cash-on-cash
42.12%
DSCR
2.87
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,847
List price
$51,000
Delta
-67.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Reppert Blvd 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-5%) 6mo $159,500 $111 75
64 Reppert Blvd 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,504 (-1%) 23mo $125,000 $83 61
11 Sterling St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,614 (+6%) 9mo $195,000 $121 57
551 Johnston Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,574 (+4%) 16mo $23,000 $15 52
26 Jane St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,456 (-4%) 24mo $165,000 $113 52
50 Reppert Blvd 0.22mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,344 (-12%) 16mo $156,900 $117 46
207 Ruby Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,699 (+12%) 11mo $457,290 $269 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$23,720
Equity at exit
$7,604
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
5.34×
Total profit
$62,013
Equity at exit
$4,410

Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15401

Home prices YoY
-3.8%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,173 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$267
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,641/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $539
Max offer price $51,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $530 -5% $516 +0% $501 +5% $487 +10% $472
Rent -10% $409 -5% $455 +0% $501 +5% $548 +10% $594
Rate -1.0pp $527 -0.5pp $514 base $501 +0.5pp $488 +1.0pp $475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,750
Closing costs
$1,530
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 E Kerr St Unit B Uniontown, PA 3.0 1.0 1248 $800 $0.64 45d 1 0.95mi
14 Leith St Uniontown, PA 4.0 2.0 1848 $1,600 $0.87 45d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $51,000 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $51,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $51,000 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $51,000 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $51,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $51,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $51,000 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $51,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $51,000 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $51,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $51,000 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $51,000 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $51,000 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $51,000 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $51,000 Active 94 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $51,000 Active 93 DOM
  17. 2026-02-24
    listed $51,000 Active 61-char remark
    Show marketing remark (61 chars)

    Investor Alert! Large 4 bedroom home situated on corner lot.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,641 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,641 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,076
− Mortgage interest
−$2,857
− Property taxes
−$1,641
− Insurance
−$255
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$1,484
Taxable income
$5,587
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,341
After-tax cash flow
$4,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Uniontown Area SD
NCES district ID
4224150
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,744
Composite
31.48/100
National rank
#5977
State rank
#392 of 539 in PA

Livability — Uniontown

Score
70/100
State rank
#750
US rank
#7482

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Uniontown, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,230

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.29%
Current HPI
210.1257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $51,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,641 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…