7431 Kipling St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial with full basement and detached garage. Features beautiful original woodwork and spacious layout. Home needs kitchen and bathroom updates - great value-add opportunity. Conveniently located near Henry Ford Hospital, Motown Museum, major roads, shopping, and dining. Strong potential in a growing area. Closing will be conducted via contract assignment or double closing, with preference given to assignment. Seller to provide marketable title at closing. Title commitment available. Seller pays ALL: water bills owed, taxes owed, blight tickets or anything else. Buyer to pay closing costs, including transfer taxes, title insurance, closing fees. Any water or taxes owed will be paid at closing by the seller. Sold AS IS - Buyer to verify all information listed. . Room dimensions are just estimates.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Original woodwork
- Spacious layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,822/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 646% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.45%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,473
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -44.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2549 Virginia Park St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,756 (-0%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $154 | 58 |
| 6247 Hecla St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-14%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 2280 N La Salle Gdns | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+2%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $194 | 55 |
| 685 W Bethune St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,913 (+9%) | 0mo | $445,000 | $233 | 54 |
| 1644 W Euclid St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (-5%) | 13mo | $245,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 708 W Euclid St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,636 (-7%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $156 | 53 |
| 6126 Hecla St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,539 (-13%) | 12mo | $290,000 | $188 | 52 |
| 2550 Lamothe St | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 1,738 (-1%) | 13mo | $265,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 2247 Lamothe St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,578 (-10%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $212 | 47 |
| 6170 Wabash Street St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,530 (-13%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $111 | 46 |
| 5875 4th St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,621 (-8%) | 5mo | $92,500 | $57 | 41 |
| 816 W Philadelphia St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-14%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $174 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $9,943
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $66,062
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48206
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $906/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1710 Virginia Park St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $2,600 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2264 | $1,200 | $0.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2047 Seward St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1421 | $1,523 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6144 16th St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2426 | $3,000 | $1.24 | 1d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,675 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,675 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 30 W Bethune St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1254 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7645 Woodward Ave #70 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1547 | $2,600 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2302 Hazelwood St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,273 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2254 Taylor St Unit Taylor St unit Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1307 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,500 | $1.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2440 | $2,500 | $1.02 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2463 Taylor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,100 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3012 Lothrop Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8410 Brush St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3259 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1293 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 216 Holbrook Unit Na Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 216 Holbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3220 Gladstone St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 15 E Kirby St #217 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,600 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 528 E Philadelphia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1625 | $2,400 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 275 E Palmer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,950 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 419 King St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1668 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 557 Hague St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1929 Calvert Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,199 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2045 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5918 St Antoine Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1187 | $3,370 | $2.84 | 1d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $155,000 Pending 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $155,000 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $155,000 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial with full basement and detached garage. Features beautiful original woodwork and spacious layout. Home needs kitchen and bathroom updates—great value-add opportunity. Conveniently located near Henry Ford Hospital, Motown Museum, major roads, shopping, and dining. Strong potential in a growing area. Closing will be conducted via contract assignment or double closing, with preference given to assignment. Seller to provide marketable title at closing. Title commitment available. Seller pays ALL: water bills owed, taxes owed, blight tickets or anything else. Buyer to pay closing costs, including transfer taxes, title insurance, closing fees. Any water or taxes owed will be paid at closing by the seller. Sold AS IS - Buyer to verify all information listed. . Room dimensions are just estimates.
-
2026-04-30price $155,000 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial with full basement and detached garage. Features beautiful original woodwork and spacious layout. Home needs kitchen and bathroom updates—great value-add opportunity. Conveniently located near Henry Ford Hospital, Motown Museum, major roads, shopping, and dining. Strong potential in a growing area. Closing will be conducted via contract assignment or double closing, with preference given to assignment. Seller to provide marketable title at closing. Title commitment available. Seller pays ALL: water bills owed, taxes owed, blight tickets or anything else. Buyer to pay closing costs, including transfer taxes, title insurance, closing fees. Any water or taxes owed will be paid at closing by the seller. Sold AS IS - Buyer to verify all information listed. . Room dimensions are just estimates.
-
2026-04-07$165,000 Active 834-char remark
Show marketing remark (834 chars)
3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial with full basement and detached garage. Features beautiful original woodwork and spacious layout. Home needs kitchen and bathroom updates—great value-add opportunity. Conveniently located near Henry Ford Hospital, Motown Museum, major roads, shopping, and dining. Strong potential in a growing area. Closing will be conducted via contract assignment or double closing, with preference given to assignment. Seller to provide marketable title at closing. Title commitment available. Seller pays ALL: water bills owed, taxes owed, blight tickets or anything else. Buyer to pay closing costs, including transfer taxes, title insurance, closing fees. Any water or taxes owed will be paid at closing by the seller. Sold AS IS - Buyer to verify all information listed. . Room dimensions are just estimates.
-
2026-04-06$165,000 Active 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial with full basement and detached garage. Features beautiful original woodwork and spacious layout. Home needs kitchen and bathroom updates - great value-add opportunity. Conveniently located near Henry Ford Hospital, Motown Museum, major roads, shopping, and dining. Strong potential in a growing area. Closing will be conducted via contract assignment or double closing, with preference given to assignment. Seller to provide marketable title at closing. Title commitment available. Seller pays ALL: water bills owed, taxes owed, blight tickets or anything else. Buyer to pay closing costs, including transfer taxes, title insurance, closing fees. Any water or taxes owed will be paid at closing by the seller. Sold AS IS - Buyer to verify all information listed. . Room dimensions are just estimates.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $906 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$741/yr (+$62/mo · 81.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$906
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,749
- − Management
- −$1,749
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$838
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,227
- Household income
- $45,046
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.60%
- Current HPI
- 130.9545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.20%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $165,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $906 · -10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…