🏷️ Likely Rental
82 Reservation St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this opportunity to make this multi-family home your own. It is located in Blackrock near Chandlerville, Wegmans, Buffalo State university and Elmwood avenue. The property features a renovated unit in the upper apartment with a current tenant. The lower is in need of light renovation to bring it back to rent-ready status. The property is being sold as-is. Sewer rent is $83.25 annually. The lower unit is vacant and easy to see, the upper unit requires 24 hour notice and can be viewed daily, Monday to Saturday between 9am-3pm. An open house will be held on 01/13/2024 from 10a-12pm.
Key facts
- Two-unit property
- Tenant-occupied
- 3,872 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two total units (both in the community); Separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Owner pays water; water included in rent; Operating expenses include water; One unit currently rented month-to-month at $850
Exterior
- Parking: No driveway
- Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as existing (year built listed as existing)
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in each unit
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each with an eat-in kitchen)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas baseboard heating
- Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,786/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $117k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.13%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,618
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -45.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Peter St | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,469 (-7%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 64 Gladstone St | 0.49mi | 6/2.0 | 1,720 (+9%) | 6mo | $118,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 26 Clay St | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,511 (-4%) | 13mo | $192,500 | $127 | 56 |
| 92 Greeley St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,766 (+12%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $125 | 42 |
| 222 Amherst St | 0.59mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,686 (+7%) | 20mo | $50,000 | $30 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $79,610
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.36×
- Total profit
- $248,954
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,786 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $403/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$585
- Net cashflow
- $1,375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,455 | -5% $1,415 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,336 | +10% $1,296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,155 | -5% $1,265 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,485 | +10% $1,596 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,446 | -0.5pp $1,411 | base $1,375 | +0.5pp $1,339 | +1.0pp $1,302 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,786 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,393 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,393 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,786 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Bird Ave Unit H Buffalo, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,900 | $4.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $139,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$139,900 Active 508-char remark
-
2024-05-01soldstatus $117,000 Closed 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Check out this opportunity to make this multi-family home your own. It is located in Blackrock near Chandlerville, Wegmans, Buffalo State university and Elmwood avenue. The property features a renovated unit in the upper apartment with a current tenant. The lower is in need of light renovation to bring it back to rent-ready status. The property is being sold as-is. Sewer rent is $83.25 annually. The lower unit is vacant and easy to see, the upper unit requires 24 hour notice and can be viewed daily, Monday to Saturday between 9am-3pm. An open house will be held on 01/13/2024 from 10a-12pm.
-
2024-02-02status Pending 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Check out this opportunity to make this multi-family home your own. It is located in Blackrock near Chandlerville, Wegmans, Buffalo State university and Elmwood avenue. The property features a renovated unit in the upper apartment with a current tenant. The lower is in need of light renovation to bring it back to rent-ready status. The property is being sold as-is. Sewer rent is $83.25 annually. The lower unit is vacant and easy to see, the upper unit requires 24 hour notice and can be viewed daily, Monday to Saturday between 9am-3pm. An open house will be held on 01/13/2024 from 10a-12pm.
-
2024-01-08$134,900 Active 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Check out this opportunity to make this multi-family home your own. It is located in Blackrock near Chandlerville, Wegmans, Buffalo State university and Elmwood avenue. The property features a renovated unit in the upper apartment with a current tenant. The lower is in need of light renovation to bring it back to rent-ready status. The property is being sold as-is. Sewer rent is $83.25 annually. The lower unit is vacant and easy to see, the upper unit requires 24 hour notice and can be viewed daily, Monday to Saturday between 9am-3pm. An open house will be held on 01/13/2024 from 10a-12pm.
-
2019-04-05soldstatus $90,000 Closed Sale or Rented
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Fully Occupied 3/3 double in Black Rock neighborhood, both great long term tenants, property currently bringing in 15,900 in rental income, Great investment property!! Both apartments in great condition with very little maintenance needed.
-
2019-04-05soldstatus $88,925
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Fully Occupied 3/3 double in Black Rock neighborhood, both great long term tenants, property currently bringing in 15,900 in rental income, Great investment property!! Both apartments in great condition with very little maintenance needed.
-
2019-01-04status Under Contract- Do Not Show
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Fully Occupied 3/3 double in Black Rock neighborhood, both great long term tenants, property currently bringing in 15,900 in rental income, Great investment property!! Both apartments in great condition with very little maintenance needed.
-
2018-11-02$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Fully Occupied 3/3 double in Black Rock neighborhood, both great long term tenants, property currently bringing in 15,900 in rental income, Great investment property!! Both apartments in great condition with very little maintenance needed.
-
2017-03-15soldstatus $45,000
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2017-03-15soldstatus $71,000
-
2006-06-15soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $403 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,384 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$981/yr (+$82/mo · 243.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,432
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$403
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,675
- − Management
- −$2,675
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $15,074
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+337.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-05-01 Sold (MLS) $117,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-02 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-01-08 Listed $134,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $88,925 Public Records
- 2019-04-05 Sold (MLS) $90,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-01-04 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-11-02 Listed $105,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2017-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $403 · +35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…