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1168 Van Buren St
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$8,000

1168 Van Buren St · Gary, IN 46407
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1924 3,615 sqft lot ↓ 60% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS MOVE IN READY HOME HAS BEEN DRASTICALLY REDUCED! IT'S IDEAL FOR SOMEONE LOOKING FOR AFFORDABLE LIVING OR INCOME PROPERTY!! This Very Charming well maintained 3 bedroom brick home with 9 Ft. ceilings, beautiful wood trim and window sills thru-out, hardwood floors and very dry basement has Character Galore! It features built-in dual matching curios with leaded glass in the living room. The dining room has Crown molding and a beveled mirrored Buffet with dual matching cabinets. In addition, there is a newly remodeled kitchen and bathroom. Some additional amenities include approx. 3 year old furnace, ductwork, basement block windows a newer hot water heater, a 2 car detached garage, freezer, gas range AND A 1 YEAR HOME WARRANTY! Seller MAY consider Contract or Lease/Purchase terms.

Key facts

  • 3,615 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1924

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $922 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Cap rate 144.7% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,238/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $133 of equity ($55 loan paydown + $78 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $8,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
15.47%
Cap rate
144.67%
Cash-on-cash
494.19%
DSCR
22.99
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1561 Tyler St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-2%) 0mo $12,000 $12 82
1177 Harrison St 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (-8%) 2mo $8,500 $9 78
1349 Harrison St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,068 (+4%) 14mo $22,900 $21 77
1067 Polk St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,088 (+5%) 7mo $116,000 $107 71
1161 Harrison Blvd 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 912 (-12%) 0mo $21,000 $23 67
668 Harrison St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-2%) 10mo $40,000 $40 59
1384 Fillmore St 0.32mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,078 (+4%) 14mo $39,900 $37 59
1151 Delaware St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,057 (+2%) 9mo $34,500 $33 56
1014 W 19th Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 960 (-7%) 14mo $30,000 $31 53
1161 Fillmore St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 905 (-12%) 14mo $42,000 $46 51
1690 W 12th Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,134 (+10%) 6mo $25,000 $22 46
1567 Hayes St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 934 (-10%) 4mo $29,000 $31 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
27.30×
Total profit
$58,914
Equity at exit
$2,723
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
58.38×
Total profit
$128,525
Equity at exit
$3,612

Cash invested: $2,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,238 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$42
Tax est. 1.5%
$10 /mo · $120/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$922

Break-even live

Break-even rent $70
Max offer price $8,000
Occupancy floor 20%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,000
Closing costs
$240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1572 Polk St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 1d 1 0.33mi
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 1d 1 0.38mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 19d 1 0.42mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 0.65mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.68mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 0.74mi
672 Connecticut St Apt 1S Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1247 $875 $0.70 15d 1 0.79mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,362 $1.54 1d 11 0.83mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 43d 1 0.98mi
411 Pierce St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 874 $1,395 $1.60 22d 1 1.00mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 1d 1 1.03mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 1.16mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 1.16mi
1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 1d 1 1.23mi
1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 2d 1 1.23mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.23mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 4d 1 1.24mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 1.24mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 1.24mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.25mi
317 Garfield St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,495 $1.60 43d 1 1.27mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 1d 1 1.28mi
1030 E 6th Ave Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,600 $1.14 1d 1 1.32mi
2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 1d 1 1.35mi
2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0 937 $1,299 $1.39 1d 2 1.37mi
2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,299 $1.27 1d 1 1.37mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 1d 1 1.38mi
2264 Taft St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 1d 1 1.39mi
2306 Vermont St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,300 $1.08 1d 1 1.39mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.42mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 1.42mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 69-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $8,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,852
− Mortgage interest
−$448
− Property taxes
−$120
− Insurance
−$40
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,188
− Management
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$233
Taxable income
$11,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,792
After-tax cash flow
$8,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-59.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $8,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-11 Listed $19,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $737 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…