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14895 Pleasant Bay Ln #5204
D+ Composite 45.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

14895 Pleasant Bay Ln #5204 · Naples, FL 34119
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,528 sqft · Condo · 225 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition $190/sqft · 29% below area Est $406k · 29% under $650/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Largest 4-Bedroom, 3-Full Bath Condo in the community under $300,000 in Naples! Don't miss this opportunity to own a beautifully located second-floor condo in Vanderbilt Place (Camden Cove). This generous 4-bedroom, 3-bath unit offers plenty of natural light through numerous windows and features high-volume ceilings, elegant flooring, tile, and new vinyl flooring. The kitchen was updated in 2022 with modern finishes and includes a microwave, stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer, and dryer in the laundry room. Adjacent to the kitchen is a dining area with ample pantry space, perfect for family gatherings. The expansive living room provides a welcoming space for relaxing and entertaining.

Key facts

  • Second floor condo
  • Community pool
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

SECOND FLOOR CONDOUPDATED KITCHENEXPANSIVE LIVING ROOMWALK IN CLOSETPET FRIENDLY COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (19.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (1.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.4% in Naples — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Big Cypress Elementary School (math 63% / reading 61%, grade B, #608 of 2,144 statewide, top 29%, 742 students, 47% FRL); Oakridge Middle School (math 75% / reading 67%, grade A, #59 of 571 statewide, top 11%, 1,183 students, 26% FRL); Gulf Coast High School (math 57% / reading 68%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,447 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 679 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,827 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
4.66%
Cash-on-cash
-5.84%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$405,955
List price
$290,000
Delta
-28.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15229 Wildflower Cir 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,543 (+1%) 1mo $380,000 $246 73
15376 Wildflower Cir 0.28mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,582 (+4%) 1mo $377,000 $238 73
15489 Wildflower Cir 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,688 (+10%) 1mo $400,000 $237 66
7577 Bristol Cir 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,667 (+9%) 1mo $325,000 $195 60
14932 Toscana Way 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,451 (-5%) 1mo $429,000 $296 54
15501 Cortona Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,460 (-4%) 0mo $430,000 $295 53
14645 Sutherland Ave #87 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,869 (+22%) 1mo $405,000 $217 53
7009 Romana Way #1602 1.18mi 4/2.5 1,890 (+24%) 0mo $390,000 $206 38
8231 Parkstone Pl #301 1.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+11%) 1mo $370,000 $218 36
9445 Glenforest Dr 1.12mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,836 (+20%) 0mo $625,000 $340 35
2335 Sawyers Hill Rd #506 1.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,725 (+13%) 1mo $435,000 $252 34
8241 Laurel Lakes Blvd 0.83mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,750 (+14%) 1mo $598,000 $342 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.9%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-80,095
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
-64.6%
Equity multiple
-0.63×
Total profit
$-132,737
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 3 under contract
Median asking
$351,500 ($229/sqft)
Median days on market
84 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+15.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34119

Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
679
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,860 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax est. 1.5%
$362 /mo · $4,350/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$650
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$600
Net cashflow
$-395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,360
Max offer price $232,827
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-195 -5% $-295 +0% $-395 +5% $-495 +10% $-596
Rent -10% $-621 -5% $-508 +0% $-395 +5% $-282 +10% $-169
Rate -1.0pp $-249 -0.5pp $-321 base $-395 +0.5pp $-470 +1.0pp $-547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14885 Pleasant Bay Ln #202 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,700 $1.36 116d 1 0.01mi
14885 Pleasant Bay Ln Unit 4202 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,700 $1.36 109d 1 0.01mi
14895 Pleasant Bay Ln Apt 5202 Naples, FL 4.0 3.0 1528 $2,100 $1.37 109d 1 0.01mi
14815 Triangle Bay Dr Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 942 $1,747 $1.85 0d 5 0.09mi
15535 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1582 $2,650 $1.68 6d 1 0.17mi
15026 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1680 $2,600 $1.55 119d 1 0.18mi
15054 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1680 $2,650 $1.58 6d 1 0.21mi
15054 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1680 $2,650 $1.58 109d 1 0.21mi
15067 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1525 $2,299 $1.51 6d 1 0.22mi
15071 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1543 $2,500 $1.62 109d 1 0.23mi
15172 Wildflower Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1680 $8,000 $4.76 119d 1 0.34mi
14760 Pinnacle Pl Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1869 $2,595 $1.39 119d 1 0.36mi
14732 Sutherland Ave Naples, FL 4.0 3.0 2002 $2,550 $1.27 119d 1 0.37mi
14732 Sutherland Ave #332 Naples, FL 4.0 2.5 2002 $2,550 $1.27 119d 1 0.37mi
7368 Bristol Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1938 $2,500 $1.29 119d 1 0.38mi
7614 Bristol Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1814 $2,700 $1.49 119d 1 0.39mi
7614 Bristol Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1814 $2,700 $1.49 6d 1 0.39mi
15582 Summit Place Cir #405 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1667 $3,000 $1.80 119d 1 0.40mi
14788 Pinnacle Pl Naples, FL 4.0 3.0 2151 $2,995 $1.39 6d 1 0.40mi
14759 Kingfisher Loop Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $4,800 $4.00 119d 1 0.41mi
14759 Kingfisher Loop Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1635 $3,360 $2.06 6d 1 0.41mi
14758 Sutherland Ave #412 Naples, FL 3.0 3.0 1800 $3,000 $1.67 119d 1 0.41mi
14891 Loggerhead Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $4,000 $2.42 6d 1 0.45mi
14864 Indigo Lakes Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1934 $3,500 $1.81 6d 1 0.45mi
15077 Cortona Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1490 $2,395 $1.61 109d 1 0.46mi
15270 Summit Place Cir #179 Naples, FL 3.0 3.0 2151 $2,700 $1.26 6d 1 0.51mi
15147 Summit Place Cir Naples, FL 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,995 $1.50 0d 1 0.52mi
14620 Kingfisher Loop Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $3,200 $1.94 119d 1 0.55mi
14948 Toscana Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,495 $1.39 6d 1 0.59mi
7944 Bristol Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1779 $2,695 $1.51 6d 1 0.60mi
14886 Toscana Way Naples, FL 4.0 2.0 2100 $4,200 $2.00 119d 1 0.60mi
7792 Bristol Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1804 $2,595 $1.44 6d 1 0.64mi
15373 Cortona Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1597 $3,000 $1.88 109d 1 0.69mi
4275 Sonoma Oaks Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2000 $3,200 $1.60 119d 1 0.75mi
4274 Sonoma Oaks Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 2018 $3,500 $1.73 119d 1 0.76mi
8260 Laurel Lakes Blvd Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 2100 $6,750 $3.21 6d 1 0.82mi
14329 Tuscany Pointe Cv Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1830 $3,250 $1.78 6d 1 0.85mi
9176 Glenforest Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,650 $1.47 119d 1 0.86mi
7530 Rockefeller Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1643 $2,800 $1.70 6d 1 0.86mi
87 Burnt Pine Dr Naples, FL 4.0 2.0 1921 $3,500 $1.82 119d 1 0.87mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Pets allowed (call/conditional)
Financial info
Community of 88 units
HOA & community
Homeowners association with monthly fee of $650HOA covers cable TV, internet, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, street lights, trash and waterCommunity amenities: clubhouse, barbecue, picnic area, playground, park, pool, sidewalks, management

Exterior

Parking
Assigned parkingDrivewayPaved parkingDetached 2-space carportTwo parking spaces (2 covered)
Security
Fire sprinkler systemSmoke detectorsGated communityStreet lights
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable availableHigh-speed internet availableUnderground utilities
Home design
2-story propertyEntry level on 2nd floor
Construction
Built with block, concrete, stucco and wood frameShingle roof
Exterior features
Community poolSprinkler/irrigation system (municipal source)Water featureRectangular lotSprinklers automaticPrivate paved road frontagePrivate maintained roadNorth exposureHas viewFaces southEntry level 2Resale condition

Interior

Kitchen
Electric cooktopMicrowaveRefrigeratorFreezerKitchen islandBreakfast barPantryEat-in kitchen
Bedrooms
Includes guest quarters
Flooring
CarpetVinyl
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
Interior features
AtticBreakfast barBuilt-in featuresEat-in kitchenFamily/dining roomFrench doorsKitchen islandLiving/dining roomPantryPull-down attic stairsSplit bedroomsTub with showerWalk-in closet(s)Double-hung windowsUnfurnished
Laundry & utility
Inside laundryWasherDryer

HOA detail $650/mo · $7,800/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-08-13
    days on market $290,000 Active 223 DOM
  3. 2026-08-12
    days on market $290,000 Active 222 DOM
  4. 2026-08-11
    days on market $290,000 Active 221 DOM
  5. 2026-08-10
    days on market $290,000 Active 220 DOM
  6. 2026-08-09
    days on market $290,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-08-08
    days on market $290,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-08-07
    days on market $290,000 Active 217 DOM
  9. 2026-08-06
    days on market $290,000 Active 216 DOM
  10. 2026-08-05
    days on market $290,000 Active 215 DOM
  11. 2026-08-04
    days on market $290,000 Active 214 DOM
  12. 2026-08-03
    days on market $290,000 Active 213 DOM
  13. 2026-07-31
    days on market $290,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-07-30
    days on market $290,000 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2026-07-29
    days on market $290,000 Active 208 DOM
  16. 2026-07-27
    days on market $290,000 Active 206 DOM
  17. 2026-07-25
    days on market $290,000 Active 204 DOM
  18. 2026-07-24
    days on market $290,000 Active 203 DOM
  19. 2026-07-23
    days on market $290,000 Active 202 DOM
  20. 2026-07-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 201 DOM
  21. 2026-07-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 200 DOM
  22. 2026-07-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 197 DOM
  23. 2026-07-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 195 DOM
  24. 2026-07-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 194 DOM
  25. 2026-07-14
    days on market $290,000 Active 193 DOM
  26. 2026-07-14
    days on market $290,000 Active 192 DOM
  27. 2026-07-12
    days on market $290,000 Active 191 DOM
  28. 2026-07-11
    days on market $290,000 Active 190 DOM
  29. 2026-07-09
    days on market $290,000 Active 188 DOM
  30. 2026-07-08
    days on market $290,000 Active 187 DOM
  31. 2026-07-07
    days on market $290,000 Active 186 DOM
  32. 2026-07-06
    days on market $290,000 Active 185 DOM
  33. 2026-07-05
    days on market $290,000 Active 184 DOM
  34. 2026-07-04
    days on market $290,000 Active 183 DOM
  35. 2026-07-03
    days on market $290,000 Active 182 DOM
  36. 2026-07-02
    days on market $290,000 Active 181 DOM
  37. 2026-07-01
    days on market $290,000 Active 180 DOM
  38. 2026-06-30
    days on market $290,000 Active 179 DOM
  39. 2026-06-29
    days on market $290,000 Active 178 DOM
  40. 2026-06-28
    days on market $290,000 Active 177 DOM
  41. 2026-06-28
    days on market $290,000 Active 176 DOM
  42. 2026-06-27
    days on market $290,000 Active 175 DOM
  43. 2026-06-25
    days on market $290,000 Active 173 DOM
  44. 2026-06-23
    days on market $290,000 Active 171 DOM
  45. 2026-06-21
    days on market $290,000 Active 170 DOM
  46. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 167 DOM
  47. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 166 DOM
  48. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 165 DOM
  49. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 164 DOM
  50. 2026-06-10
    days on market $290,000 Active 159 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,314
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$4,350
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,745
− Management
−$2,745
− HOA
−$7,800
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$9,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,270
After-tax cash flow
$-2,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,640–$22,920 screening

This well-maintained, updated townhouse is move-in ready with good condition and potential for value enhancement through exterior painting and landscaping.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Rental trim landscaping — improves curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

B Composite school gradezoned avg 70/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Vineyards Elementary School A FL #170/2,144 Nat'l #1,658/41,679 Middle Oakridge Middle School A FL #59/571 Nat'l #766/14,009 High Gulf Coast High School B- FL #93/667 Nat'l #3,176/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Naples

Score
80/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#1903

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 420,858 people
City population
344,941
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
36,807
Household income
$113,391
Rent vs Own
16.4% rent · 83.6% own
Severe rent burden
29% of renters

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $290,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $299,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $314,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $318,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $319,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $332,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $337,000 FORTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…