708 East 10th · Cameron, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-312 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (30.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (32.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.9% in Cameron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#812 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Cameron ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #312 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 420 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 420 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.47%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,813
- List price
- $179,000
- Delta
- -22.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Burkett Cir | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,944 (-1%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $118 | 78 |
| 1410 N Cleveland Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,044 (+4%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $137 | 62 |
| 606 E 6th St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,722 (-12%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 701 E 15th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,764 (-10%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $85 | 56 |
| 1506 Washington St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,742 (-11%) | 9mo | $407,340 | $234 | 55 |
| 605 N Lee Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,728 (-12%) | 24mo | $196,900 | $114 | 50 |
| 507 E 1st St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+12%) | 1mo | $193,500 | $88 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,629
- Equity at exit
- $67,332
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,337
- Equity at exit
- $94,506
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76570
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $-312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $179,000
-
2025-09-02price $189,500
-
2025-04-24$195,500 Active
-
2013-02-22soldstatus
-
2004-08-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,051 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,276 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- +$224/yr (+$19/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$3,051
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$6,987
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,677
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cameron ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812640
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,973
- Composite
- 36.67/100
- National rank
- #4611
- State rank
- #312 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cameron
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #812
- US rank
- #14747
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cameron, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,506
Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,051 people
- By 2030
- 23,613 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 22,693 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 21,879 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 20,974 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 19,414 · -19.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 16% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 10% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Milam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Current HPI
- 164.6726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $179,000 CTXMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $189,500 CTXMLS
- 2025-04-24 Listed $195,500 CTXMLS
- 2013-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,051 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…