606 32nd St E · Lakehills, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 1.2 private acres in Lake Hills with tons of potential and Hill Country charm. Featuring wood floors, custom touches, updated spaces, and a peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees, this property is perfect for a buyer looking to finish out a renovation and make it their own. Plenty of room for projects, entertaining, or enjoying quiet country living while adding your personal finishing touches.
Key facts
- Private acres
- Wood floors
- Custom touches
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance resources available
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Avalon
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well; Septic
- Home design: Pre-owned property
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck/Balcony; Mature trees; Siding exterior; Located on approximately 1–2 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (7 x 10); Stove/Range included
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with outside access (10 x 13); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with separate tub and shower (7 x 10)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating (2 units); Two window A/C units
- Interior features: Open living/dining combination; Loft; Utility room inside; High-speed internet available; All bedrooms on lower level
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.2% in Lakehills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#963 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bandera ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6 units permitted in Bandera County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.01%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $284,717
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -29.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686 Elmhurst | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+0%) | 10mo | $274,000 | $203 | 67 |
| 271 Legion Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,434 (+7%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $174 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,100
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $27,706
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78063
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,685 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,101/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $406 | +0% $362 | +5% $318 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $229 | -5% $295 | +0% $362 | +5% $429 | +10% $495 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $440 | -0.5pp $401 | base $362 | +0.5pp $322 | +1.0pp $281 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 Pebble Beach Rd NW Lakehills, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1820 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1923 Pebble Beach Rd Lakehills, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 186 Lakeview Rd Lakehills, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,800 | $1.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 488 Black Bass Rd Lakehills, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10685 Park Road 37 Unit D Lakehills, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,025 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$210,000 New 427-char remark
-
1987-03-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,101 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,735/yr (+$145/mo · 157.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,101
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,618
- − Management
- −$1,618
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $1,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$460
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bandera ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809360
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,771
- Composite
- 30.61/100
- National rank
- #6194
- State rank
- #500 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lakehills
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #963
- US rank
- #17024
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakehills, TX
- City population
- 10,594
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,594
Population outlook (Bandera County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,614 people
- By 2030
- 23,102 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,489 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 23,264 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 23,607 · +4.4%
- By 2100
- 22,265 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bandera
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.9) · D 18.6% · R 80.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -50.4pp · 2024: -61.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.9 2020: R+59.4 2016: R+63.0 2012: R+59.0 2008: R+50.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.38%
- Current HPI
- 189.1086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,101 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…