124 Gilbert Dr · Irondequoit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open Sun. Sep 15 1-3 Fresh neutral paint on all interior rooms. Bright cheery updated kitchen with hardwood floor and 4 appliances. Spacious rooms. Sliding glass door to oversized deck and great yard. Overall condition is excellent. Same owner for 45 years. Formal dining room, TV room. Many newer thermal windows. Roof 2003. Newer exterior doors. Quiet residential street Minutes from I-590. Includes washer and dryer. Woodburning fireplace to warm your toes in the winter and Central Air Conditioning to cool you in the summer.
Key facts
- Cozy gas fireplace
- Updated kitchen
- Enclosed sun porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story existing home; Block foundation
- Construction: Cedar construction; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (46 x 145)
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances negotiable; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes laundry)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-791/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (3.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
- East Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #475 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Helendale Road Primary School (282 students, 56% FRL); East Irondequoit Middle School (math 20% / reading 36%, grade F, #573 of 729 statewide, top 79%, 676 students, 61% FRL); Eastridge Senior High School (math 93% / reading 82%, grade A, #304 of 1,100 statewide, top 28%, 850 students, 56% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Irondequoit Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.88%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,544
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 Empire Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+2%) | 3mo | $306,000 | $228 | 77 |
| 23 Martinot Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (-2%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 515 Shelford Rd | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $188 | 74 |
| 85 Culver Pkwy | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,298 (-1%) | 1mo | $287,500 | $221 | 72 |
| 230 Laurelton Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (+4%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $212 | 70 |
| 358 Pardee Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+6%) | 2mo | $266,000 | $191 | 69 |
| 67 Harwick Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,434 (+9%) | 3mo | $162,500 | $113 | 66 |
| 297 Spencer Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (-6%) | 3mo | $243,500 | $198 | 55 |
| 34 Woodrow Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,406 (+7%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $196 | 53 |
| 2550 Norton St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (+6%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 204 Salisbury St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,449 (+10%) | 1mo | $187,460 | $129 | 42 |
| 2016 Clifford Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,502 (+14%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $150 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,138
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $20,320
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14609
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,759 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$606 /mo · $7,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $-66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $405 | +0% $-66 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-151 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-205 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-66 | +5% $4 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10 | -0.5pp $-28 | base $-66 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 930 | $2,005 | $2.16 | 4d | 9 | 0.47mi |
| 36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,675 | $1.68 | 45d | 3 | 0.47mi |
| 182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,400 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 176 Merwin Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1750 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 100 Hulda Park Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 3759 | $782 | $0.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 12d | 4 | 1.20mi |
| 149 Brookdale Park Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1543 | $2,950 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 59 Clark Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 52 Frances St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,900 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1574 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $149,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-13$149,999 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,277 · $606/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,277 · $606/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$7,277
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$3,062
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$735
- After-tax cash flow
- $-56/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Irondequoit Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609690
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,946
- Composite
- 37.27/100
- National rank
- #4451
- State rank
- #475 of 590 in NY
Livability — Irondequoit
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Irondequoit, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 74,252
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,274
- Household income
- $64,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2183.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.7053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+43.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $149,999 UNYREIS
- 2013-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2013-10-15 Sold (MLS) $95,000 UNYREIS
- 2013-08-05 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
- 2013-04-17 Listed $104,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,277 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…