825 S Illinois St · Belleville, IL 62220

$15,000

1 bd · 4.0 ba · 570 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1862 7,405 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Big lot! Close to the highway. But needs a complete rehab. Tried to capture the interior to give a realistic view of what it looks like. Ready for windows, walls, floors, ceilings and doors. And perhaps, furnace and water heater. The roof doesn't appear to be leaking at all. And did we mention it's a big lot!

Key facts

• 7,405 sq ft lot
• Built 1862
• Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Sewer connected; Electricity not available (per utilities field); Natural gas not available (per utilities field); Water not available (per utilities field)
• Home design: Single-family residential home; Two levels; Entry facing direction not specified
• Construction: Brick and cement siding exterior
• Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: One bedroom located on the upper level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Other heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Crawl space and partial, unfinished basement; Five total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $15k).
• Cap rate 51.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
• Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1862 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $15,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1862 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.63% ✓
• Cap rate: 51.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 161.06%
• DSCR: 8.17
• GRM: 1.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $34,200
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
700 Blair Ave	0.53mi	1/1.0	588 (+3%)	12mo	$35,000	$60	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.12×
• Total profit: $8,909
• Equity at exit: $2,237

10-year hold

• IRR: 52.8%
• Equity multiple: 9.99×
• Total profit: $37,751
• Equity at exit: $1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62220

• Home prices YoY: -26.4%
• Rents YoY: 14.5%
• Active inventory: 148
• Price-to-rent: 1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $845 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$79
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$19 /mo · $225/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$177
• Net cashflow: $103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $714

Max offer price $15,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $114	-5% $108	+0% $103	+5% $98	+10% $93
Rent	-10% $37	-5% $70	+0% $103	+5% $137	+10% $170
Rate	-1.0pp $111	-0.5pp $107	base $103	+0.5pp $99	+1.0pp $95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,750
• Closing costs: $450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
229 S Church St Belleville, IL	1.0	1.0	636	$750	$1.18	24d	1	0.43mi
603 W Lincoln St Belleville, IL	1.0	1.0	735	$750	$1.02	24d	1	0.67mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $15,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $15,000 Active 6 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $15,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   remarks 102-char remark
6. 2026-06-10
   listed $15,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,137
• − Mortgage interest: −$840
• − Property taxes: −$225
• − Insurance: −$5,600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$811
• − Management: −$811
• − Depreciation: −$436
• Taxable income: $1,414
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$339
• After-tax cash flow: $900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Belleville Twp Hsd 201
• NCES district ID: 1705640
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $58,064
• Composite: 22.39/100
• National rank: #8115
• State rank: #308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #142
• US rank: #2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Belleville, IL
• County: Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
• City population: 47,407
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 19,152
• Household income: $65,952
• Rent vs Own: 37.0% rent · 63.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 250,366 people
• By 2030: 240,511 · -3.9%
• By 2040: 217,391 · -13.2%
• By 2050: 192,699 · -23.0%
• By 2075: 140,637 · -43.8%
• By 2100: 100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -52.27%
• Current HPI: 145.9237
• Rent YoY: ▲ 14.47%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+15.4% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $15,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-11-14 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-10-24 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-10-07 Listed $13,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-10-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-10-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-08-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $775 · -14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.