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4493 Glacier St
D Composite 41.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$296,000

4493 Glacier St · Springfield, OR 97478
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,667 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1993 8,712 sqft lot $178/sqft · 33% below area Est $441k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Easy access to Clearwater Park, trails, and great schools! Large lot, fenced back yard, and newer deck. The interior features family-friendly floor plan: Large living room, formal dining area, separate fireplace/sitting room, and upstairs master suite. Roof & exterior paint just over a year old. Perfect starter or family home-- won't last long! OPEN HOUSE: 2/25, 12 - 2 pm.

Key facts

  • Formal dining
  • Half bath
  • Large family room

Tags

FORMAL LIVINGFORMAL DININGHALF BATHKITCHEN WITH EATING BARLARGE FAMILY ROOMTWO FULL BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 7,000 to 9,999 sq ft (about 0.2 acre); Building area approximately 1,667; No land lease; No green certification

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Parking for 2 vehicles total
  • Utilities: Electricity fuel; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Not attached to another unit; Approximately 1993 construction; Main and upper levels (two-level layout)
  • Construction: Built in 1993
  • Exterior features: Lap siding; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Upper level); 2nd bedroom; 3rd bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling system listed
  • Interior features: Family room; Great room; Dining room; Living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $296k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-240 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+.
  • Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mt Vernon Elementary School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #366 of 412 statewide, top 91%, 412 students, 63% FRL); Agnes Stewart Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 513 students, 63% FRL); Springfield High School (math 30% / reading 54%, grade F, #64 of 143 statewide, top 46%, 1,317 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,962 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.47%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$440,531
List price
$296,000
Delta
-32.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
955 S 44th St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,628 (-2%) 2mo $435,000 $267 87
4908 Holly St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-3%) 3mo $432,000 $268 72
4452 Jessica Dr 0.16mi 3/3.0 1,476 (-12%) 2mo $460,147 $312 70
1004 S 46th St 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+8%) 4mo $559,900 $311 67
4946 Holly St 0.48mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,632 (-2%) 0mo $443,500 $272 67
1076 S 40th Pl 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,657 (-1%) 2mo $495,000 $299 65
1264 S 41st Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,703 (+2%) 2mo $540,000 $317 62
4155 Stellar Way 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-6%) 2mo $499,900 $318 60
4187 Richland St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,769 (+6%) 5mo $575,000 $325 58
4217 Cole Way 0.41mi 3/3.0 1,854 (+11%) 5mo $457,625 $247 56
5142 Holly St 0.74mi 3/3.0 1,743 (+5%) 2mo $493,990 $283 54
5021 Cedar View Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+8%) 4mo $549,000 $305 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-62,324
Equity at exit
$44,135
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-70,183
Equity at exit
$25,593

Cash invested: $82,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97478

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,280 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,552
Tax from tax record
$365 /mo · $4,380/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$-240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,583
Max offer price $253,658
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-72 -5% $-156 +0% $-240 +5% $-323 +10% $-407
Rent -10% $-420 -5% $-330 +0% $-240 +5% $-150 +10% $-60
Rate -1.0pp $-91 -0.5pp $-164 base $-240 +0.5pp $-316 +1.0pp $-394

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,000
Closing costs
$8,880
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1152 S 43rd Pl Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1539 $2,595 $1.69 15d 1 0.23mi
4173 Glacier View Dr Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1250 $2,175 $1.74 15d 1 0.35mi
339 S 42nd St Unit 317 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1444 $1,895 $1.31 15d 1 0.47mi
617 S 41st Ct Unit 610 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,050 $1.37 15d 1 0.48mi
617 S 41st Ct Unit 606 Springfield, OR 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 15d 1 0.48mi
1135 Laurel Ave Springfield, OR 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,750 $1.53 45d 1 0.94mi
317 30th St Springfield, OR 2.0–3.0 2.0 1200 $2,405 $2.00 15d 19 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 518-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $296,000 Active 518-char remark
  3. 2017-04-25
    soldstatus $275,000
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Well maintained home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Easy access to Clearwater Park, trails, and great schools! Large lot, fenced back yard, and newer deck. The interior features family-friendly floor plan: Large living room, formal dining area, separate fireplace/sitting room, and upstairs master suite. Roof & exterior paint just over a year old. Perfect starter or family home-- won't last long! OPEN HOUSE: 2/25, 12 - 2 pm.

  4. 2017-04-25
    soldstatus $275,000 Sold 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Well maintained home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Easy access to Clearwater Park, trails, and great schools! Large lot, fenced back yard, and newer deck. The interior features family-friendly floor plan: Large living room, formal dining area, separate fireplace/sitting room, and upstairs master suite. Roof & exterior paint just over a year old. Perfect starter or family home-- won't last long! OPEN HOUSE: 2/25, 12 - 2 pm.

  5. 2017-02-28
    status Pending 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Well maintained home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Easy access to Clearwater Park, trails, and great schools! Large lot, fenced back yard, and newer deck. The interior features family-friendly floor plan: Large living room, formal dining area, separate fireplace/sitting room, and upstairs master suite. Roof & exterior paint just over a year old. Perfect starter or family home-- won't last long! OPEN HOUSE: 2/25, 12 - 2 pm.

  6. 2017-02-17
    listed $260,000 Active 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Well maintained home in a quiet cul-de-sac! Easy access to Clearwater Park, trails, and great schools! Large lot, fenced back yard, and newer deck. The interior features family-friendly floor plan: Large living room, formal dining area, separate fireplace/sitting room, and upstairs master suite. Roof & exterior paint just over a year old. Perfect starter or family home-- won't last long! OPEN HOUSE: 2/25, 12 - 2 pm.

  7. 2004-05-17
    soldstatus $169,900
  8. 2004-04-17
    listed
  9. 1993-09-24
    soldstatus $97,100
  10. 1992-10-13
    soldstatus $229,350

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,380 · $365/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,380 · $365/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,355
− Mortgage interest
−$16,581
− Property taxes
−$4,380
− Insurance
−$1,480
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,188
− Management
−$2,188
− Depreciation
−$8,611
Taxable loss
−$8,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,938
After-tax cash flow
$-939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield SD 19
NCES district ID
4111670
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,236
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7746
State rank
#48 of 58 in OR

Livability — Springfield

Score
83/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#934

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
76,907
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
39,373
Household income
$80,086
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.83%
Current HPI
302.9203
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $296,000 RMLS
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $275,000 RMLS
  • 2017-02-28 Pending RMLS
  • 2017-02-17 Listed $260,000 RMLS
  • 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2004-04-17 Listed RMLS
  • 1993-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $97,100 Public Records
  • 1992-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $229,350 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,380 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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