200 New Home Cemetery Rd · Woodlawn, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is such a great property located in Cleveland County with lots of extras. Plenty of love went into this place and it is just waiting for you to add more. It has a shop with an overhead door for work projects inside and there is also covered RV parking. Plenty of places for all your outside toys. There is a fire pit, barbeque area, dog pen, and a garden spot. The home is super cozy and has a bonus craft room/possible bedroom. Give me a call to take a look!
Key facts
- Bonus craft room
- Covered rv parking
- Barbeque area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options: conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 1 car
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electricity (municipal, Entergy); Propane/Butane gas
- Home design: Metal/vinyl siding; Permanent foundation (mobile home on permanent foundation); Cul-de-sac lot in a rural setting; Approximately 4.3 acres
- Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Metal/vinyl exterior siding
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Open porch; Outside storage area; RV parking; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free‑standing stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator stays
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling; Window AC units
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Sheetrock walls and sheetrock ceilings; Workshop/Craft room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Star City School District (rural): math 22% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #206 of 238 in AR (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cleveland County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.71%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,352
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 N New Home Cemetary Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 23mo | $90,000 | $62 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $3,730
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $26,670
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71603
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Back on Market 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Back on Market 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Back on Market 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Back on Market 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $89,000 Back on Market 29 DOM
-
2026-04-24$89,000 New Listing 464-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,093
- − Management
- −$1,093
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$510
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Star City School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500028
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,400
- Composite
- 18.28/100
- National rank
- #8957
- State rank
- #206 of 238 in AR
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #11291
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Jefferson County · 29,578 people
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,578
- Household income
- $53,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,657 people
- By 2030
- 7,246 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 6,391 · -16.5%
- By 2050
- 5,612 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 4,230 · -44.8%
- By 2100
- 3,389 · -55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 33% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.6) · D 15.5% · R 83.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -67.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.6 2020: R+61.6 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+43.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.43%
- Current HPI
- 206.5994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pine Bluff, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $89,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…