Duplex
3020 Manor Ln · Huntsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.
Key facts
- Duplex
- New roof
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $56/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#825 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime D-.
- Huntsville ISD (town): math 25% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #621 of 826 in TX (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 604 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 527 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,153/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1961% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,276
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -24.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3009 Manor Ln | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 2,111 (-0%) | 21mo | $258,900 | $123 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-33,827
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-34,790
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77340
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 604
- Price-to-rent
- 17.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,153 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $191 | +0% $111 | +5% $32 | +10% $-48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-59 | -5% $26 | +0% $111 | +5% $196 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $227 | -0.5pp $170 | base $111 | +0.5pp $52 | +1.0pp $-9 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,152 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,076 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,076 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,153 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2523 Avenue M Huntsville, TX | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 1188 | $1,263 | $1.06 | 25d | 18 | 0.66mi |
| 108 Varsity Dr Huntsville, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1640 | $634 | $0.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $230,000 Pending 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $230,000 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.
-
2026-03-09$240,000 Active 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.
-
2025-09-03historical
-
2025-01-06price $250,000
-
2024-08-16$265,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,067
- − Management
- −$2,067
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$2,472
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This well-maintained duplex in Huntsville is in good condition with a new roof and a good location. Minor updates to exterior and landscaping can significantly boost its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace landscaping with more attractive plants — Improved landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace landscaping with more attractive plants — Improved landscaping can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824030
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,597
- Composite
- 25.71/100
- National rank
- #7383
- State rank
- #621 of 826 in TX
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #825
- US rank
- #14909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, TX
- County
- Walker County · 75,669 people
- City population
- 75,669
- Metro
- Huntsville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,517
- Household income
- $48,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1961.0
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,602 people
- By 2030
- 82,007 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 90,436 · +16.5%
- By 2050
- 100,240 · +29.2%
- By 2075
- 123,667 · +59.4%
- By 2100
- 135,073 · +74.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.6% · R 69.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.44%
- Current HPI
- 182.8905
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.27%
- Metro
- Huntsville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $240,000 HARMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-01-06 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
- 2024-08-16 Listed $265,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…