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3020 Manor Ln Duplex
C- Composite 52.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

3020 Manor Ln · Huntsville, TX 77340
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,121 sqft · MultiFamily · 87 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition 7,405 sqft lot $108/sqft · 24% below area Est $304k · 24% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.

Key facts

  • Duplex
  • New roof
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYDUPLEXCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN HUNTSVILLECLOSE TO INTERSTATE 45NEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $56/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#825 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime D-.
  • Huntsville ISD (town): math 25% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #621 of 826 in TX (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 604 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 527 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,153/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1961% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walker County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,300 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.87%
Cash-on-cash
2.08%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$304,276
List price
$230,000
Delta
-24.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3009 Manor Ln 0.05mi 4/2.0 2,111 (-0%) 21mo $258,900 $123 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-33,827
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-34,790
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77340

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
604
Price-to-rent
17.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,153 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,012
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $270 -5% $191 +0% $111 +5% $32 +10% $-48
Rent -10% $-59 -5% $26 +0% $111 +5% $196 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $170 base $111 +0.5pp $52 +1.0pp $-9

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2523 Avenue M Huntsville, TX 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.0 1188 $1,263 $1.06 25d 18 0.66mi
108 Varsity Dr Huntsville, TX 4.0 4.0 1640 $634 $0.39 44d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $230,000 Pending 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-04-15
    price $230,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.

  8. 2026-03-09
    listed $240,000 Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    A rare find in Huntsville! Investment opportunity and location! A well-cared for duplex in Huntsville! Two (2 bed, 2 bath) units, situated close to Sam Houston State University, downtown Huntsville, and Interstate 45. Both units are currently leased and individually metered. New roof 2023, spacious rooms and a extra room for dining room, in addition to the living room.

  9. 2025-09-03
    historical
  10. 2025-01-06
    price $250,000
  11. 2024-08-16
    listed $265,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,836
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,067
− Management
−$2,067
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$593
After-tax cash flow
$1,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained duplex in Huntsville is in good condition with a new roof and a good location. Minor updates to exterior and landscaping can significantly boost its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace landscaping with more attractive plants — Improved landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace landscaping with more attractive plants — Improved landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install smart home technology — Enhances convenience and can attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville ISD
NCES district ID
4824030
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,597
Composite
25.71/100
National rank
#7383
State rank
#621 of 826 in TX

Livability — Huntsville

Score
63/100
State rank
#825
US rank
#14909

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, TX
County
Walker County · 75,669 people
City population
75,669
Metro
Huntsville, TX
Population (ZIP)
37,517
Household income
$48,538
Rent vs Own
52.4% rent · 47.6% own
Severe rent burden
1961.0

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,602 people
By 2030
82,007 · +5.7%
By 2040
90,436 · +16.5%
By 2050
100,240 · +29.2%
By 2075
123,667 · +59.4%
By 2100
135,073 · +74.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.6% · R 69.6%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+28.4 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.44%
Current HPI
182.8905
Rent YoY
▲ 1.27%
Metro
Huntsville, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $240,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-01-06 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-16 Listed $265,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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