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1194 W Grey Ct
B- Composite 68.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,999

1194 W Grey Ct · Yankee Springs, MI 49348
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 40 Days on market
Built 1997 Fair condition $58/sqft · 67% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Partially Open Concept 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Double Wide Mobile Home on Large LotWell-maintained, spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double wide home that offers comfortable living in a welcoming community with outstanding amenities. Situated on a large lot with parking for up to three vehicles, this home provides both space and convenience. Inside, you'll find a generously sized living room ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or spending time with family. The functional floor plan offers comfortable bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and ample living space throughout. Community AmenitiesResidents enjoy access to:Outdoor Swimming PoolSplash PadBasketball CourtPlaygroundAdditional DetailsBreed restrictions Monthly lot rent: $671.83Lot rent includes water, sewer, and trash servicesCash and financing options availableBuyer must receive park approval prior to closingWasher and dryer not included

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Large lot
  • Splash pad

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTLARGE LOTOUTDOOR SWIMMING POOLSPLASH PADBASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch style; Residential property; Built in 1997
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 9 rooms; Oven; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Thornapple Kellogg School District (rural): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #127 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barry County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $67,899 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
15.98%
Cash-on-cash
34.58%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,000
List price
$69,999
Delta
66.66%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12926 Yost St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,200 (0%) 2mo $40,000 $33 93
1391 Shadowridge Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,216 (+1%) 2mo $42,000 $35 84
12741 S Bernie Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,089 (-9%) 8mo $67,000 $62 72
1338 Shadow Ridge Dr Lot 205 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 14mo $61,000 $45 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$24,650
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
37.3%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$67,867
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49348

Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$565

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $613 -5% $589 +0% $565 +5% $541 +10% $516
Rent -10% $460 -5% $512 +0% $565 +5% $617 +10% $670
Rate -1.0pp $600 -0.5pp $583 base $565 +0.5pp $547 +1.0pp $528

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,999 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,999 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $70,000 Active 927-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Partially Open Concept 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Double Wide Mobile Home on Large LotWell-maintained, spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double wide home that offers comfortable living in a welcoming community with outstanding amenities. Situated on a large lot with parking for up to three vehicles, this home provides both space and convenience. Inside, you'll find a generously sized living room ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or spending time with family. The functional floor plan offers comfortable bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and ample living space throughout. Community AmenitiesResidents enjoy access to:Outdoor Swimming PoolSplash PadBasketball CourtPlaygroundAdditional DetailsBreed restrictions Monthly lot rent: $671.83Lot rent includes water, sewer, and trash servicesCash and financing options availableBuyer must receive park approval prior to closingWasher and dryer not included

  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $70,000 Active 893-char remark
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Partially Open Concept 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Double Wide Mobile Home on Large LotWell-maintained, spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double wide home that offers comfortable living in a welcoming community with outstanding amenities. Situated on a large lot with parking for up to three vehicles, this home provides both space and convenience. Inside, you'll find a generously sized living room ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or spending time with family. The functional floor plan offers comfortable bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and ample living space throughout. Community AmenitiesResidents enjoy access to:Outdoor Swimming PoolSplash PadBasketball CourtPlaygroundAdditional DetailsBreed restrictions Monthly lot rent: $671.83Lot rent includes water, sewer, and trash servicesCash and financing options availableBuyer must receive park approval prior to closingWasher and dryer not included

  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $70,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (893 chars)

    Partially Open Concept 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Double Wide Mobile Home on Large LotWell-maintained, spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom double wide home that offers comfortable living in a welcoming community with outstanding amenities. Situated on a large lot with parking for up to three vehicles, this home provides both space and convenience. Inside, you'll find a generously sized living room ideal for entertaining, relaxing, or spending time with family. The functional floor plan offers comfortable bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and ample living space throughout. Community AmenitiesResidents enjoy access to:Outdoor Swimming PoolSplash PadBasketball CourtPlaygroundAdditional DetailsBreed restrictions Monthly lot rent: $671.83Lot rent includes water, sewer, and trash servicesCash and financing options availableBuyer must receive park approval prior to closingWasher and dryer not included

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,927
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$6,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,445
After-tax cash flow
$5,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in fair condition with some cosmetic updates needed, such as painting and landscaping, to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen flooring — The flooring looks worn and may need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom flooring — The flooring looks worn and may need replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior and exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen flooring · The flooring looks worn and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom flooring · The flooring looks worn and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the interior and exterior — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornapple Kellogg School District
NCES district ID
2633810
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$63,480
Composite
40.3/100
National rank
#3755
State rank
#127 of 540 in MI

Livability — Yankee Springs

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,607

Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,601 people
By 2030
59,185 · -0.7%
By 2040
57,121 · -4.2%
By 2050
53,139 · -10.8%
By 2075
42,814 · -28.2%
By 2100
29,357 · -50.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 24% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Barry

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.1% · R 66.4% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -34.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.3 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+18.1 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.52%
Current HPI
251.5261
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $69,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $69,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $69,999 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $70,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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