800 Linden Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great purchase opportunity at a great price! Ready to move in, perfect for someone looking for a spacious new home to call theirs or a great addition to any rental portfolio! Don't miss this one! Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Has heating
- Home design: Two-story home
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Irregular-shaped lot; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 12 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 13 x 10; 13 x 13; 11 x 13)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 14 x 4)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: River'S Edge Montessori Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.54%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,910
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -31.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800 Linden Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,472 (0%) | 0mo | $62,500 | $42 | 98 |
| 804 Linden Ave | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (-5%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $62 | 86 |
| 712 Wellmeier Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,390 (-6%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $151 | 73 |
| 133 Linsan Ct | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,339 (-9%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $101 | 72 |
| 849 Wellmeier Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (-1%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $137 | 71 |
| 1014 Arbor Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,488 (+1%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $67 | 68 |
| 107 Sherman St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,446 (-2%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $50 | 66 |
| 853 Creighton Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-7%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $91 | 66 |
| 1116 Linden Ave | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+9%) | 3mo | $157,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 700 Bowen St | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,664 (+13%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $144 | 56 |
| 806 Gondert Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,436 (-2%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $129 | 53 |
| 42 S Monmouth St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (-10%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $83 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $26,020
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $92,644
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45410
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 11.4%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $415/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $541 | -5% $520 | +0% $499 | +5% $478 | +10% $456 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $451 | +0% $499 | +5% $547 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $537 | -0.5pp $518 | base $499 | +0.5pp $479 | +1.0pp $460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 Creighton Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,350 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1300 Chardon Ct Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 424 Bantz Ct Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2012 Saint Charles Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 201 Pleasant Ave Unit 203 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $975 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 706 Kolping Ave Unit 706 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1172 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 314 Sheridan Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1354A Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1354 Ohmer St Unit 1356C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 511 Parrot St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1618 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 854 Santa Cruz Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 224 S Irwin St Unit 226 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $900 | $0.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 210 S Hedges St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1101 Phillips Ave Unit 1101 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 120 S Monmouth St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1411 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1430 Coventry Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15 John St Unit 15 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2306 Alice St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,200 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1620 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2200 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3817 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 136 Indiana Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3100 Linden Ave Unit 3102 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $995 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1520 S Smithville Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,345 | $0.91 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 31 Bidleman St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1568 | $1,100 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 517 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $875 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 515 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $950 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1704 Huffman Ave Unit 1706 Huffman Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $900 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 29 N Garfield St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 101 N Irwin St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 20 Lucerne Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1378 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4403 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1029 Blakley Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1770 Suman Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,145 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1020 Walnut Hill Pl Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1410 Phillips Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-03status $74,900 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 221-char remark
-
2026-04-30status Pending 221-char remark
-
2026-04-27$79,900 Active 221-char remark
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-10-16price $42,900
-
2025-09-21price $44,900
-
2025-09-05price $47,900
-
2025-09-02price $48,900
-
2025-08-24price $49,900
-
2025-07-25price $54,900
-
2025-07-10price $57,900
-
2025-06-25price $59,900
-
2025-06-19$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $415 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $792 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$377/yr (+$31/mo · 90.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$415
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $5,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,694
- Household income
- $46,651
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 961.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.61%
- Current HPI
- 369.3938
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.37%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
-3.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $62,500 Dayton MLS
- 2026-06-02 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $79,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $42,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-21 Price Changed $44,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $47,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $48,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $49,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $54,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $57,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $64,900 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
-7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $415 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…