Hwy 12 & 16 New Lisbon West #533 · New Lisbon, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Personal property sale - no land included. This well-maintained 16x80 manufactured home in New Lisbon offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of space for comfortable living. The open-concept layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious kitchen features ample cabinetry and flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Located in a convenient area close to local amenities, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, value, and accessibility. Whether you're a first-time buyer
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Spacious kitchen
- Shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Sale includes stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, blinds, curtains; This listing is for the manufactured home only; land is not included
Exterior
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Single-family manufactured home; One story
- Construction: Built/installed by owner (year source: Owner)
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (11 x 15); Bedroom 2 on main level (10 x 9); Bedroom 3 on main level (10 x 9)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom (full)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($998 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#565 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Lisbon School District (rural): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #334 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: New Lisbon Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #864 of 1,041 statewide, top 85%, 334 students, 55% FRL); New Lisbon Junior High/High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #435 of 483 statewide, top 90%, 248 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Juneau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Juneau County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,932
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -46.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 487 State St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 316 W State St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 13mo | $168,000 | $140 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,883
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $10,419
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53950
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $998 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$99,900 Active 788-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,982
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$959
- − Management
- −$959
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 16x80 manufactured home in New Lisbon offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of space for comfortable living. The open-concept layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Lisbon School District
- NCES district ID
- 5510560
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,996
- Composite
- 15.02/100
- National rank
- #9358
- State rank
- #334 of 342 in WI
Livability — New Lisbon
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #565
- US rank
- #14435
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Lisbon, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,838
Population outlook (Juneau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,013 people
- By 2030
- 24,154 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 22,217 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 20,276 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 15,919 · -36.4%
- By 2100
- 11,351 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Juneau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.4% · R 65.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.0pp · 2024: -32.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.1 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+26.3 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.53%
- Current HPI
- 391.69
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — SCWMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $89,900 SCWMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $99,900 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…