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20188 Andover St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,999

20188 Andover St · Detroit, MI 48203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1941 3,485 sqft lot $55/sqft · 41% below area Est $91k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this solid 3-bedroom brick bungalow offering comfort, durability, and great potential. This home features newer windows, vinyl plank flooring and a newer water heater, providing added efficiency and peace of mind. The spacious basement offers ample storage and flexible space for future finishing, recreation, or entertaining. Refrigerator and stove are included in the sale, making this home even more move-in ready. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this property is a fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained brick home. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Flexible space
  • Newer windows
  • Newer water heater

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSVINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEWER WATER HEATERSPACIOUS BASEMENTAMPLE STORAGEFLEXIBLE SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $54k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $47,519 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.56%
Cap rate
22.42%
Cash-on-cash
57.60%
DSCR
3.56
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,859
List price
$53,999
Delta
-40.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20529 Irvington St 0.21mi 3/1.0 946 (-4%) 3mo $50,000 $53 82
128 W Muir Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 966 (-1%) 2mo $132,500 $137 75
20739 Caledonia Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 925 (-6%) 4mo $128,750 $139 73
20747 Caledonia Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 909 (-7%) 2mo $144,900 $159 72
1218 E Milton Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,021 (+4%) 1mo $155,000 $152 65
20401 Greeley St 0.56mi 3/1.0 928 (-5%) 1mo $55,000 $59 64
145 W Bernhard Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-1%) 2mo $60,000 $62 64
1107 E Muir Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,081 (+10%) 1mo $147,900 $137 61
21330 Caledonia Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 898 (-8%) 1mo $175,000 $195 54
750 E Hayes Ave 0.42mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,125 (+15%) 2mo $212,500 $189 47
19711 Greeley St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+15%) 4mo $75,000 $67 42
1032 E Maxlow Ave 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 867 (-12%) 1mo $185,000 $213 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.1%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$37,490
Equity at exit
$8,051
10-year hold
IRR
61.1%
Equity multiple
7.10×
Total profit
$92,236
Equity at exit
$4,669

Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,384 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$283
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $742/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$726

Break-even live

Break-even rent $465
Max offer price $53,999
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,500
Closing costs
$1,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.31mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 24d 1 0.46mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 24d 1 0.51mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 1d 1 0.53mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 24d 1 0.67mi
1561 E Webster St Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 939 $1,600 $1.70 24d 1 0.77mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,448 $5.88 1d 1 0.81mi
90 W Meyers Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,800 $2.17 24d 1 0.88mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 17d 1 0.95mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 43d 1 0.98mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 43d 1 1.05mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 43d 1 1.05mi
1291 W State Fair Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 12d 2 1.06mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 21d 1 1.10mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.10mi
790 Jewell St Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,445 $1.81 24d 1 1.14mi
1731 E Pearl Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 844 $1,500 $1.78 20d 1 1.24mi
266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,600 $1.70 21d 1 1.24mi
2023 Ardmore Dr Ferndale, MI 2.0 1.0 771 $1,250 $1.62 24d 1 1.26mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.26mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 16d 1 1.27mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 1.31mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 1.34mi
23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,375 $1.95 24d 1 1.39mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 14d 1 1.49mi
23345 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 10d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,999 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,999 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,999 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,999 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,999 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,999 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,999 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,999 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $53,999 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $53,999 Active 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,999 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,999 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-05-18
    price $53,999 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to this solid 3-bedroom brick bungalow offering comfort, durability, and great potential. This home features newer windows, vinyl plank flooring and a newer water heater, providing added efficiency and peace of mind. The spacious basement offers ample storage and flexible space for future finishing, recreation, or entertaining. Refrigerator and stove are included in the sale, making this home even more move-in ready. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this property is a fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained brick home. Schedule your showing today!

  14. 2026-05-17
    price $53,999 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Welcome to this solid 3-bedroom brick bungalow offering comfort, durability, and great potential. This home features newer windows, vinyl plank flooring and a newer water heater, providing added efficiency and peace of mind. The spacious basement offers ample storage and flexible space for future finishing, recreation, or entertaining. Refrigerator and stove are included in the sale, making this home even more move-in ready. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or an investor, this property is a fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained brick home. Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-02-06
    listed $64,999 Active 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to this solid 3-bedroom brick bungalow offering comfort, durability, and great potential. This home features newer windows, vinyl plank flooring and a newer water heater, providing added efficiency and peace of mind. The spacious basement offers ample storage and flexible space for future finishing, recreation, or entertaining. Refrigerator and stove are included in the sale, making this home even more move-in ready. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this property is a fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained brick home. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-02-06
    listed $64,999 Active 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    Welcome to this solid 3-bedroom brick bungalow offering comfort, durability, and great potential. This home features newer windows, vinyl plank flooring and a newer water heater, providing added efficiency and peace of mind. The spacious basement offers ample storage and flexible space for future finishing, recreation, or entertaining. Refrigerator and stove are included in the sale, making this home even more move-in ready. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this property is a fantastic opportunity to own a well-maintained brick home. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 1997-04-01
    soldstatus $13,658

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$742 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$787 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$45/yr (+$4/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,607
− Mortgage interest
−$3,025
− Property taxes
−$742
− Insurance
−$270
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,329
− Management
−$1,329
− Depreciation
−$1,571
Taxable income
$8,342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,002
After-tax cash flow
$6,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+295.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $53,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $53,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $64,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $64,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,658 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $742 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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