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22931 Champaign St
D Composite 44.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

22931 Champaign St · Taylor, MI 48180
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1955 5,227 sqft lot Est $183k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A darling three bedroom brick ranch! Living room offers an electric fireplace built in with stone accent. Perfect openness to living room the Dining area can entertain enough area for entertaining. Full basement for additional space for living, let your imagination go wild! The Seller is working on the new city inspection. Above ground pool needs to be moved due to overhead wires, buyer(s) to assume or the Seller can remove. Two car detached garage, near parks, schools, shopping and restaurants. East of Pardee and just north of Wick. Come Home today!

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($27/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $157,375 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.31%
Cash-on-cash
0.06%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,817
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8339 Birch St 0.19mi 3/1.0 994 (-0%) 1mo $142,000 $143 90
8003 Roosevelt St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,029 (+3%) 1mo $195,000 $190 77
8019 Roosevelt St 0.37mi 3/1.0 957 (-4%) 3mo $175,100 $183 73
23628 Champaign St 0.39mi 3/1.0 949 (-5%) 4mo $174,000 $183 70
8248 Birch St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,123 (+12%) 0mo $181,900 $162 70
22324 Wohlfeil St 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 948 (-5%) 5mo $190,000 $200 70
23760 Mary St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 990 (-1%) 2mo $240,000 $242 65
22021 Rosemary St 0.75mi 3/1.0 980 (-2%) 1mo $210,000 $214 61
9255 Syracuse St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+4%) 4mo $169,000 $163 60
9360 Pine St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+4%) 2mo $140,000 $135 58
7166 Pardee Rd 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (-15%) 1mo $73,000 $86 48
7140 Elm St 0.53mi 3/1.0 851 (-15%) 3mo $165,000 $194 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-24,258
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,599
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48180

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,351/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,571
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $98 -5% $50 +0% $2 +5% $-46 +10% $-94
Rent -10% $-122 -5% $-60 +0% $2 +5% $64 +10% $127
Rate -1.0pp $88 -0.5pp $45 base $2 +0.5pp $-42 +1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7873 Syracuse St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 728 $1,400 $1.92 44d 1 0.47mi
9620 Elm St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,470 $1.84 0d 3 0.78mi
24268 Haskell St Taylor, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $1,570 $1.78 0d 7 0.79mi
23060 Bernard St Unit Upper Unit Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 922 $1,400 $1.52 0d 1 1.28mi
23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 836 $1,400 $1.67 2d 1 1.28mi
23060 Bernard St Taylor, MI 3.0 1.0 1086 $1,600 $1.47 0d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2025-03-17
    historical
  2. 2025-02-03
    listed $190,000
  3. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  4. 2024-11-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    A darling three bedroom brick ranch! Living room offers an electric fireplace built in with stone accent. Perfect openness to living room the Dining area can entertain enough area for entertaining. Full basement for additional space for living, let your imagination go wild! The Seller is working on the new city inspection. Above ground pool needs to be moved due to overhead wires, buyer(s) to assume or the Seller can remove. Two car detached garage, near parks, schools, shopping and restaurants. East of Pardee and just north of Wick. Come Home today!

  5. 2024-11-22
    status Pending 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    A darling three bedroom brick ranch! Living room offers an electric fireplace built in with stone accent. Perfect openness to living room the Dining area can entertain enough area for entertaining. Full basement for additional space for living, let your imagination go wild! The Seller is working on the new city inspection. Above ground pool needs to be moved due to overhead wires, buyer(s) to assume or the Seller can remove. Two car detached garage, near parks, schools, shopping and restaurants. East of Pardee and just north of Wick. Come Home today!

  6. 2024-11-10
    listed $169,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    A darling three bedroom brick ranch! Living room offers an electric fireplace built in with stone accent. Perfect openness to living room the Dining area can entertain enough area for entertaining. Full basement for additional space for living, let your imagination go wild! The Seller is working on the new city inspection. Above ground pool needs to be moved due to overhead wires, buyer(s) to assume or the Seller can remove. Two car detached garage, near parks, schools, shopping and restaurants. East of Pardee and just north of Wick. Come Home today!

  7. 2024-11-10
    listed $169,900 Active 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    A darling three bedroom brick ranch! Living room offers an electric fireplace built in with stone accent. Perfect openness to living room the Dining area can entertain enough area for entertaining. Full basement for additional space for living, let your imagination go wild! The Seller is working on the new city inspection. Above ground pool needs to be moved due to overhead wires, buyer(s) to assume or the Seller can remove. Two car detached garage, near parks, schools, shopping and restaurants. East of Pardee and just north of Wick. Come Home today!

  8. 2018-07-31
    soldstatus $129,900
  9. 2018-07-17
    soldstatus $129,900 Sold
  10. 2018-07-17
    soldstatus $129,900 Closed
  11. 2018-06-05
    status Pending
  12. 2018-06-05
    status Pending
  13. 2018-05-22
    historical
  14. 2018-05-22
    listed $129,900 Active
  15. 2018-05-22
    listed $129,900 Active
  16. 2018-05-10
    status Pending
  17. 2018-05-10
    status Pending
  18. 2018-05-10
    historical
  19. 2018-05-03
    historical
  20. 2018-05-03
    listed $129,900 Active
  21. 2018-05-03
    listed $129,900 Active
  22. 2018-04-26
    status Pending
  23. 2018-04-26
    status Pending
  24. 2018-04-26
    historical
  25. 2018-04-16
    listed $129,900 Active
  26. 2018-04-16
    listed $129,900 Active
  27. 2018-02-13
    soldstatus $65,500
  28. 2018-02-08
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  29. 2018-02-08
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
  30. 2018-01-15
    status Pending
  31. 2018-01-15
    status Pending
  32. 2018-01-09
    listed $61,500 Active
  33. 2018-01-09
    listed $61,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,351 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,351 · $279/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,885
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,351
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,797
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$671
After-tax cash flow
$698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor School District
NCES district ID
2633540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,062
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9034
State rank
#462 of 540 in MI

Livability — Taylor

Score
76/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#3684

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
62,081
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
62,081
Household income
$61,081
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1957.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.33%
Current HPI
228.921
Rent YoY
▲ 4.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+208.9% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2025-03-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-03 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-10 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-10 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2018-07-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-22 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-22 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-03 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-03 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-04-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-04-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-16 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-04-16 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-09 Listed $61,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-09 Listed $61,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,351 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…