13935 Cottonwood Rd · Cottonwood, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
Key facts
- Storage building
- Carport
- 2 lots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#82 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.06%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,443
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- -22.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,601
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $23,629
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36320
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $349 | +0% $304 | +5% $259 | +10% $214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $184 | -5% $244 | +0% $304 | +5% $364 | +10% $424 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $337 | base $304 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-17status $129,500 Pending 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $129,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-05-18status Pending 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-05-05price $135,500 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-05-04price $135,500 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-04-20price $152,500 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-04-20price $152,500 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-04-09price $154,900 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-04-08price $154,900 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-03-25$159,000 Active 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
-
2026-03-25$159,000 Active 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
Great brick home located in Cottonwood AL. The home is situated on 2 lots. 1 Car carport. Storage building in back.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,212
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $1,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 0101770
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,530
- Composite
- 31.01/100
- National rank
- #6092
- State rank
- #38 of 129 in AL
Livability — Cottonwood
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #10682
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cottonwood, AL
- City population
- 3,137
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,137
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.25%
- Current HPI
- 160.737
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-14.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — WBR
- 2026-05-18 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $135,500 WBR
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $135,500 SAMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $152,500 WBR
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $152,500 SAMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $154,900 WBR
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $154,900 SAMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $159,000 SAMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $159,000 WBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…