39 Church St · Edwardsville, PA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home that's move-in ready with room to make it your own. This property offers a spacious yard with potential for off-street parking, adding extra convenience and value. A great opportunity for buyers looking for a solid home with future upside.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Off-street parking
- 3,484 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#458 in PA, #4,179 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: State El Ctr (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,248 of 1,518 statewide, top 83%, 1,353 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Ms (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #404 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 1,191 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Shs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,357 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.24%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,650
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- -8.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Pugh St St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 2,226 (+6%) | 8mo | $178,500 | $80 | 76 |
| 16 Flannagan St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,109 (+1%) | 4mo | $269,500 | $128 | 64 |
| 120 Pheasant Dr | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 | 2,238 (+7%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 9 Morgan Ter | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,240 (+7%) | 5mo | $203,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 178 Hillside Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,950 (-7%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 48-50 Church St | 0.03mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+15%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 311 Oriole Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,904 (-9%) | 7mo | $232,900 | $122 | 52 |
| 317 Frederick St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+5%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $80 | 50 |
| 306 Cardinal Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,804 (-14%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $162 | 50 |
| 107 Page Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,839 (-12%) | 6mo | $184,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 45 Covert St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,974 (-6%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $96 | 46 |
| 45 Hoyt St | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 1,900 (-9%) | 8mo | $390,000 | $205 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,504
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $52,125
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18704
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,743 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,926/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $473 | -5% $437 | +0% $400 | +5% $363 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $262 | -5% $331 | +0% $400 | +5% $469 | +10% $538 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $465 | -0.5pp $433 | base $400 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 E Grove St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2296 | $1,250 | $0.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 58 Jackson St Kingston, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 36 Pulaski St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 79 Washington St Kingston, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 255 Zerby Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $1,350 | $0.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 365 N Maple Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 20 N Loveland Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,775 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 54 Butler St Kingston, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2174 | $2,000 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 143 W Dorrance St Kingston, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 147 W Dorrance St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $129,500 Pending 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $129,500 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home that's move-in ready with room to make it your own. This property offers a spacious yard with potential for off-street parking, adding extra convenience and value. A great opportunity for buyers looking for a solid home with future upside.
-
2026-04-07$139,500 Active 285-char remark
Show marketing remark (285 chars)
Charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home that's move-in ready with room to make it your own. This property offers a spacious yard with potential for off-street parking, adding extra convenience and value. A great opportunity for buyers looking for a solid home with future upside.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,926 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,926 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$2,926
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,673
- − Management
- −$1,673
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $2,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Edwardsville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #4179
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edwardsville, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,149
- Household income
- $64,444
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1454.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.72%
- Current HPI
- 255.5375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-7.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $129,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-07 Listed $139,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,926 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…