11042 Lincoln Ave · Halfway, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CHARMING 2-3 BEDROOM HOME IN HAGERSTOWN, MD! This well-maintained home features 2-3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a comfortable living room, dining room, kitchen, and convenient laundry area. The full partially finished basement offers additional space with a family room and ample storage. Outside, you'll find both an attached 1-car garage and a detached 2-car garage, along with a fenced rear yard—perfect for pets, outdoor activities, or entertaining. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or a great investment opportunity, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your opportunity to make this charming home your own! This property will be offered at auction on Monda
Key facts
- Fenced rear yard
- 6,935 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces); Attached garage (1 space); Driveway parking; Three total garage/parking spaces; Covered parking with front-entry garage and additional storage area
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Electric-powered central A/C
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Cement siding; Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures; Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Property outside city limits; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Living room; Dining room; Family room; Storage room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.8% in Halfway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#225 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.83%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,205
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11029 Lincoln Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,531 (+10%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $191 | 76 |
| 11117 Nursery Rd | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,363 (-2%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $227 | 76 |
| 10904 Decker Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+1%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $236 | 74 |
| 17521 Gay St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,530 (+10%) | 1mo | $309,900 | $203 | 66 |
| 17539 York Rd | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,426 (+3%) | 4mo | $287,500 | $202 | 65 |
| 17125 Miner Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (-4%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $195 | 60 |
| 17325 Gay St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,228 (-12%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $228 | 59 |
| 10829 Oak Valley Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+5%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $172 | 56 |
| 10903 Allen Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,533 (+10%) | 5mo | $298,500 | $195 | 50 |
| 11319 Manse Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (-9%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $215 | 49 |
| 17520 York Rd | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,194 (-14%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $218 | 44 |
| 10701 Oak Forest Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,189 (-14%) | 5mo | $304,000 | $256 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,267
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $29,353
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21740
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,891 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,839/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $428 | -5% $378 | +0% $327 | +5% $276 | +10% $226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $178 | -5% $252 | +0% $327 | +5% $402 | +10% $476 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $417 | -0.5pp $373 | base $327 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10924 Gaywood Dr Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1529 Sherman Ave Unit 1 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1527 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 17940 Garden Ln Hagerstown, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,706 | $1.67 | 14d | 19 | 0.93mi |
| 17958 Hickory Ln Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1132 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 672 Armstrong Ave Hagerstown, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $2,680 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 825 Armstrong Ave Hagerstown, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-17$179,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,839 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,895 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$56/yr (+$5/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,839
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,815
- − Management
- −$1,815
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $1,090
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$262
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Halfway
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #11296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Halfway, MD
- County
- Washington County · 98,861 people
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,792
- Household income
- $62,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2832.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.38%
- Current HPI
- 264.8018
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $179,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,839 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…