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11042 Lincoln Ave
C+ Composite 62.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

11042 Lincoln Ave · Halfway, MD 21740
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,387 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1950 6,935 sqft lot Est $298k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

CHARMING 2-3 BEDROOM HOME IN HAGERSTOWN, MD! This well-maintained home features 2-3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a comfortable living room, dining room, kitchen, and convenient laundry area. The full partially finished basement offers additional space with a family room and ample storage. Outside, you'll find both an attached 1-car garage and a detached 2-car garage, along with a fenced rear yard—perfect for pets, outdoor activities, or entertaining. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or a great investment opportunity, this property offers excellent potential. Don’t miss your opportunity to make this charming home your own! This property will be offered at auction on Monda

Key facts

  • Fenced rear yard
  • 6,935 sq ft lot
  • 3 garage spots

Tags

FENCED REAR YARDATTACHED 1-CAR GARAGEDETACHED 2-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 spaces); Attached garage (1 space); Driveway parking; Three total garage/parking spaces; Covered parking with front-entry garage and additional storage area
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Electric-powered central A/C
  • Home design: Detached property
  • Construction: Cement siding; Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures; Built year reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Property outside city limits; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Living room; Dining room; Family room; Storage room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.8% in Halfway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#225 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.83%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,205
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11029 Lincoln Ave 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,531 (+10%) 3mo $292,000 $191 76
11117 Nursery Rd 0.20mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,363 (-2%) 6mo $310,000 $227 76
10904 Decker Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+1%) 3mo $330,000 $236 74
17521 Gay St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,530 (+10%) 1mo $309,900 $203 66
17539 York Rd 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (+3%) 4mo $287,500 $202 65
17125 Miner Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,336 (-4%) 4mo $259,900 $195 60
17325 Gay St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,228 (-12%) 3mo $280,000 $228 59
10829 Oak Valley Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+5%) 3mo $250,000 $172 56
10903 Allen Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,533 (+10%) 5mo $298,500 $195 50
11319 Manse Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,258 (-9%) 1mo $270,000 $215 49
17520 York Rd 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,194 (-14%) 4mo $260,000 $218 44
10701 Oak Forest Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,189 (-14%) 5mo $304,000 $256 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-6,267
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$29,353
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21740

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
368
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,891 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,839/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$327

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $378 +0% $327 +5% $276 +10% $226
Rent -10% $178 -5% $252 +0% $327 +5% $402 +10% $476
Rate -1.0pp $417 -0.5pp $373 base $327 +0.5pp $281 +1.0pp $234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10924 Gaywood Dr Hagerstown, MD 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 21d 1 0.36mi
1529 Sherman Ave Unit 1 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 2.5 1496 $2,100 $1.40 21d 1 0.85mi
1527 Sherman Ave Unit 2 Hagerstown, MD 3.0 2.5 1496 $2,100 $1.40 21d 1 0.85mi
17940 Garden Ln Hagerstown, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $1,706 $1.67 14d 19 0.93mi
17958 Hickory Ln Hagerstown, MD 2.0 1.5 1132 $1,650 $1.46 44d 1 1.01mi
672 Armstrong Ave Hagerstown, MD 4.0 2.0 1698 $2,680 $1.58 21d 1 1.08mi
825 Armstrong Ave Hagerstown, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 14d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 687-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $179,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,839 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,895 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,688
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,839
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,815
− Management
−$1,815
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$1,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$262
After-tax cash flow
$3,663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washingtion County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400660
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$54,784
Composite
22.87/100
National rank
#8007
State rank
#13 of 24 in MD

Livability — Halfway

Score
66/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#11296

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Halfway, MD
County
Washington County · 98,861 people
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
64,792
Household income
$62,873
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
2832.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
151,614 people
By 2030
151,455 · -0.1%
By 2040
150,097 · -1.0%
By 2050
148,193 · -2.3%
By 2075
146,581 · -3.3%
By 2100
138,025 · -9.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.38%
Current HPI
264.8018
Rent YoY
▲ 4.00%
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $179,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,839 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…