4400 3rd St · Greenville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute and cozy 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering comfort, convenience, and plenty of space to enjoy. Step inside to find large, inviting rooms with durable laminate flooring throughout, creating a warm and low-maintenance living environment. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces and generously sized bedrooms, making it ideal for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing room to spread out. Outside, you'll appreciate the fully fenced backyard, perfect for pets, play, gardening, or entertaining. A small storage building provides extra space for tools, lawn equipment, or seasonal items. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and ev
Key facts
- Quick access to i-30
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not attached (detached); Will not subdivide
- Financial info: Listing terms include 1031 exchange, cash, conventional
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Cable available; Asphalt and all-weather road access
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1950; Siding and wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Chain link fence; Corner lot with few trees and a large grassy backyard; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in cabinets; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom with built-in cabinets and linen closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Eat-in kitchen; High speed internet available; Vented exhaust fan; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Carver El (math 18% / reading 15%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 524 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 55% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.01%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802 Division St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-4%) | 3mo | $232,000 | $173 | 77 |
| 4404 3rd St | 0.02mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,306 (-7%) | 6mo | $147,500 | $113 | 76 |
| 925 Jones St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,408 (+1%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $156 | 74 |
| 4026 Dixon Cir | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (-2%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 1707 Pollard St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+9%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $151 | 68 |
| 3920 Pine St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (+7%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $94 | 60 |
| 1410 Cornelia St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+12%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $102 | 57 |
| 3912 Gordon St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-5%) | 5mo | $199,900 | $150 | 57 |
| 1102 Hemphill St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,234 (-12%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 2303 Walworth St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,406 (+0%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $57 | 55 |
| 3919 Houston St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,509 (+8%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $106 | 52 |
| 3913 Gordon St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 7mo | $219,900 | $178 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-18,426
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-18,890
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75401
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,565 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $177 | +0% $136 | +5% $95 | +10% $54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $12 | -5% $74 | +0% $136 | +5% $198 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $173 | base $136 | +0.5pp $98 | +1.0pp $60 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 Interstate Highway 30 Greenville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1228 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1110 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,440 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1421 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1421 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 12.0 | 1618 | $1,750 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1107 Hemphill St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,190 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1412 Hemphill St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $500 | $0.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1808 Oneal St Unit B Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4102 Gordon St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3415 Henderson St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4205 Stuart St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,790 | $1.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1910 Joe Ramsey Blvd E Greenville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 694 | $1,203 | $1.73 | 2d | 8 | 0.61mi |
| 4105 Stuart St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,675 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4214 Johnson St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3112 Travis St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2010 Morse St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4320 Wesley St Unit 13 Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2704 Jones St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 50021 Del Ra Dr Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,425 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3110 Saint John St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3108 Stanford St Apt A Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,185 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1412 Waverley Dr Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3214 King St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3305 Mineola St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3305 Mineola St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4701 Sayle St Greenville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3118 Hemphill St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,600 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2113 Henry St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2113 Henry St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2203 Henry St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1401 Brindle Dr Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2107 Church St Unit B Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2107 Church St Unit A Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2006 Church St Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,355 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,355 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,355
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,502
- − Management
- −$1,502
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,374
- Composite
- 19.56/100
- National rank
- #8759
- State rank
- #743 of 826 in TX
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, TX
- County
- Hunt County · 71,969 people
- City population
- 42,767
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,669
- Household income
- $59,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.45%
- Current HPI
- 339.0287
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+364.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
- 2021-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-03-22 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-03-16 Listed $124,900 NTREIS
- 2020-03-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-01-10 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2019-12-31 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2019-08-29 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
- 2015-12-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-12-18 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2015-12-11 Pending — NTREIS
- 2015-10-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2015-10-02 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-09-28 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2015-09-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2015-09-12 Listed $57,500 NTREIS
- 2004-06-10 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2004-04-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2004-01-29 Listed $31,200 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,355 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…