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2015 W Court St
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,900

2015 W Court St · Flint, MI 48503
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,106 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1941 9,148 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special. This home needs to be brought back to life. It sits up on a hill over looking its area and on a double lot. Yes it does need a lot of clean up, But there is lots of potential with the size of the home, double lot and no one on either side of you. Kitchen and living room are quite large. 2 decent size bedrooms on the main level and 2 more upstairs. Bring all offers!

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • Built 1941

Tags

DOUBLE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 56 x 165 (0.21 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $11k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $11k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 105.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $75 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $327 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $11k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $10,573 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.37%
Cap rate
105.83%
Cash-on-cash
355.48%
DSCR
16.82
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,042
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2318 Reid St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,105 (-0%) 12mo $30,000 $27 77
1430 Brabyn Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,082 (-2%) 9mo $60,000 $55 63
1555 Bradley Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,107 (+0%) 3mo $45,000 $41 62
1113 Christopher St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,176 (+6%) 14mo $109,000 $93 62
1511 Durand St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,229 (+11%) 10mo $66,000 $54 53
808 N Chevrolet Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,053 (-5%) 2mo $42,900 $41 52
709 Cadillac St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,138 (+3%) 7mo $65,000 $57 52
2710 Mansfield Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+8%) 4mo $115,000 $96 51
924 Hammond Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 948 (-14%) 5mo $51,000 $54 43
3119 Sherwood Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 995 (-10%) 7mo $77,000 $77 43
2624 Miller Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,220 (+10%) 4mo $82,000 $67 42
705 Frank St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,266 (+14%) 12mo $105,000 $83 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.44×
Total profit
$62,388
Equity at exit
$1,625
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
52.89×
Total profit
$158,371
Equity at exit
$942

Cash invested: $3,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$57
Tax est. 1.5%
$14 /mo · $164/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$904

Break-even live

Break-even rent $95
Max offer price $10,900
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $912 -5% $908 +0% $904 +5% $900 +10% $897
Rent -10% $806 -5% $855 +0% $904 +5% $953 +10% $1,002
Rate -1.0pp $910 -0.5pp $907 base $904 +0.5pp $901 +1.0pp $898

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,725
Closing costs
$327
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 22d 1 0.48mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 22d 1 0.62mi
2428 Norbert St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 22d 1 0.93mi
3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 22d 1 0.99mi
3901 Herrick St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 15d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $10,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    price $10,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $14,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $14,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $14,900 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $14,900 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $14,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $19,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 15 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 14 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 13 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $19,900 Active 12 DOM
  19. 2026-05-18
    listed $19,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    Investor special. This home needs to be brought back to life. It sits up on a hill over looking its area and on a double lot. Yes it does need a lot of clean up, But there is lots of potential with the size of the home, double lot and no one on either side of you. Kitchen and living room are quite large. 2 decent size bedrooms on the main level and 2 more upstairs. Bring all offers!

  20. 2026-05-18
    listed $19,900 Active 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    Investor special. This home needs to be brought back to life. It sits up on a hill over looking its area and on a double lot. Yes it does need a lot of clean up, But there is lots of potential with the size of the home, double lot and no one on either side of you. Kitchen and living room are quite large. 2 decent size bedrooms on the main level and 2 more upstairs. Bring all offers!

  21. 2014-07-24
    soldstatus $7,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    First floor laundry, garage, full basement, wood floors, open kitchen and so much more. This beauty is priced SO WELL and ready to go. See it today and make it your home tomorrow

  22. 2014-07-24
    soldstatus $7,000
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    First floor laundry, garage, full basement, wood floors, open kitchen and so much more. This beauty is priced SO WELL and ready to go. See it today and make it your home tomorrow

  23. 2014-05-29
    historical 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    First floor laundry, garage, full basement, wood floors, open kitchen and so much more. This beauty is priced SO WELL and ready to go. See it today and make it your home tomorrow

  24. 2014-02-12
    listed $8,500 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    First floor laundry, garage, full basement, wood floors, open kitchen and so much more. This beauty is priced SO WELL and ready to go. See it today and make it your home tomorrow

  25. 2014-02-12
    listed $8,500
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    First floor laundry, garage, full basement, wood floors, open kitchen and so much more. This beauty is priced SO WELL and ready to go. See it today and make it your home tomorrow

  26. 2010-12-06
    historical
  27. 2010-12-03
    historical
  28. 2007-01-15
    listed $63,300
  29. 2007-01-15
    historical
  30. 2007-01-15
    listed $63,300
  31. 2006-11-25
    historical
  32. 2006-08-28
    listed $63,500
  33. 2006-08-28
    listed $63,500
  34. 2001-08-29
    soldstatus $47,500
  35. 2001-08-10
    soldstatus $47,500
  36. 2001-08-10
    soldstatus $47,500
  37. 2001-06-06
    historical
  38. 2001-03-07
    listed $54,900
  39. 2001-03-07
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,878
− Mortgage interest
−$611
− Property taxes
−$164
− Insurance
−$54
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,190
− Management
−$1,190
− Depreciation
−$317
Taxable income
$11,352
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,724
After-tax cash flow
$8,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-63.8% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-24 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-24 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-15 Listed $63,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-01-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-01-15 Listed $63,300 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-28 Listed $63,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-28 Listed $63,500 REALCOMP
  • 2001-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2001-08-10 Sold (MLS) $47,500 REALCOMP
  • 2001-08-10 Sold (MLS) $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-06-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-03-07 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-03-07 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,508 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…