431 NW 60th Ave · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Location- Minutes to World Equestrian Center. Recently updated with New Roof, New A/C, New Water Heater, New Well Pump, New Septic Drain Field, New Interior Light Fixtures & Ceiling Fans, Blinds, Exterior Paint. 5 1/4 Base Boards. 2 Large Bedrooms, 1 Bathroom, Washer/Dryer Hooks-Ups, Tile through out all main living areas, Carport, NO HOA Fees and Low Taxes. Located in desirable community minutes to I-75 with easy access to schools, medical, shopping, & dining. This home is a cute and cozy space that would suit a variety of lifestyles with it is quiet but convenient location! You’ve got to take a look at it today! Home is for sale-no owner financing or lease to own. Additional buildable lot directly behind home also available for additional $15,000.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Complete renovation
- Water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (Single Family); Zoning: R2
- HOA & community: No association fees; Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on lot approximately 0.18 acres (75 x 104)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Private mailbox; Vinyl fencing; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Solid surface counters; Thermostat; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (7.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.45%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,280
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5711 NW 4th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,028 (+5%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $185 | 68 |
| 5747 NW 4th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,028 (+5%) | 24mo | $225,000 | $219 | 52 |
| 5810 NW 6th Pl | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-12%) | 22mo | $160,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 5449 NW 2nd St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (-4%) | 10mo | $158,000 | $169 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-13,524
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $51,504
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34482
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 663
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,033 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $239 | +0% $177 | +5% $115 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $16 | -5% $96 | +0% $177 | +5% $257 | +10% $337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $232 | base $177 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1918 NW 50th Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2028 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5001 SW 20th St Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1220 | $1,292 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$219,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,274 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,274 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$2,274
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,951
- − Management
- −$1,951
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$1,519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$365
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,807
- Household income
- $65,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 282.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.62%
- Current HPI
- 194.3857
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+544.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-06 Listed $123,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
- 2005-09-16 Sold (MLS) $77,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-08 Listed $77,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1984-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,274 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…