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469 Albany Bay Blvd
D- Composite 39.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

469 Albany Bay Blvd · Jacksonville, FL 32259
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,611 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 2021 Excellent condition 2,178 sqft lot $168/sqft · 41% below area Est $457k · 41% under $582/mo HOA · 26% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

Key facts

  • Crystal lagoon
  • Fitness center
  • Yoga studio

Tags

PRIVATE BACK PATIOCRYSTAL LAGOONBEACHFRONT CLUBHOUSEFITNESS CENTERYOGA STUDIOTENNIS COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-801 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (52.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (15.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (52.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 762 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,504 (52.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
2.73%
Cash-on-cash
-12.71%
DSCR
0.43
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$457,193
List price
$270,000
Delta
-40.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Killarney Ave 0.20mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,710 (+6%) 10mo $355,000 $208 65
76 Old Fort Trl 0.24mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,710 (+6%) 8mo $374,000 $219 65
101 Killarney Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,710 (+6%) 12mo $425,000 $249 59
318 Rambling Brook Trl 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,648 (+2%) 3mo $405,000 $246 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-45.1%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-100,967
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.35×
Total profit
$-177,476
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32259

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
762
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,282 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$494 /mo · $5,923/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$582
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$-801

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,296
Max offer price $128,504
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
477 Albany Bay Blvd Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.5 1631 $2,249 $1.38 3d 1 0.03mi
105 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL 3.0 3.0 1750 $2,595 $1.48 3d 1 0.06mi
457 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.5 1751 $2,595 $1.48 3d 1 0.09mi
472 Boracay Cir Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.5 1750 $2,600 $1.49 24d 1 0.09mi
181 Boracay Cir Unit 181 St Johns, FL 3.0 2.5 1631 $2,450 $1.50 24d 1 0.12mi
75 Teigan Trl St Johns, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1035 $1,939 $1.87 2d 35 0.16mi
35 Crystal Palm Dr St Johns, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1115 $1,996 $1.79 3d 16 0.59mi
290 Rum Runner Way Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.5 2052 $4,350 $2.12 24d 1 0.66mi
128 Peace River Rd Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,395 $1.46 24d 1 0.67mi
87 Tahiti Shores Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 1.5 1502 $1,975 $1.31 20d 1 0.68mi
71 Tahiti Shores Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $1,975 $1.31 7d 1 0.69mi
55 Tamar Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 2081 $2,600 $1.25 24d 1 0.70mi
32 Pasadena Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1442 $2,100 $1.46 24d 1 0.77mi
205 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $2,050 $1.36 7d 1 0.78mi
64 Pasadena Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $2,075 $1.38 24d 1 0.80mi
168 Rambling Brook Trl Saint Johns, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,000 $1.76 24d 1 0.82mi
70 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1722 $1,950 $1.13 20d 1 0.82mi
44 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $2,100 $1.40 12d 1 0.82mi
63 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,775 $1.47 24d 1 0.82mi
262 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,700 $1.40 17d 1 0.83mi
272 Talulla Trl Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $2,100 $1.40 12d 1 0.83mi
94 Oarsman Crossing Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1722 $2,100 $1.22 24d 1 0.84mi
66 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1250 $2,900 $2.32 17d 1 0.85mi
124 Pasadena Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1687 $2,025 $1.20 10d 1 0.87mi
130 Pasadena Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1687 $1,995 $1.18 15d 1 0.88mi
97 Pomona Way Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,774 $1.47 21d 1 0.88mi
22 Vero Dr St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1300 $2,150 $1.65 24d 1 0.94mi
45 Seaport Breeze Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1795 $2,350 $1.31 24d 1 0.98mi
96 Vero Dr Unit 1 St. Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1220 $1,725 $1.41 12d 1 0.98mi
96 Vero Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1220 $1,725 $1.41 14d 1 0.98mi
100 Vero Dr Unit 100 St. Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $1,950 $1.30 17d 1 0.98mi
30 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1210 $1,799 $1.49 7d 1 1.10mi
213 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1505 $1,950 $1.30 14d 1 1.11mi
199 Tidal Beach Ave Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 20d 1 1.11mi
132 Starnberg Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1863 $2,750 $1.48 24d 1 1.18mi
107 Blue Haven Rd Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1505 $2,300 $1.53 24d 1 1.24mi
581 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 2.0 2.5 1346 $1,800 $1.34 12d 1 1.42mi
505 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,850 $1.24 3d 1 1.44mi
454 Scrub Jay Dr Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,950 $1.30 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$582 · $6,984/yr
Likely covers
watergym

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-04-29
    price $270,000 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

  3. 2026-02-20
    price $279,900 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

  4. 2026-02-12
    status Active 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

  5. 2026-02-06
    historical Active Under Contract 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

  6. 2026-01-24
    price $289,900 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

  7. 2026-01-12
    listed $305,000 Active 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    FREE APPRAISAL -- Credit at closing with preferred lender now through April 1st. Enjoy effortless living in this barely lived-in, like-new 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome in the highly sought-after Grand Isles community. Offered fully furnished and move-in ready, the home features a one-car garage, private back patio, and bright open living spaces. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas, while both bedrooms and the laundry room are privately located upstairs, plus a convenient downstairs half bath for guests. Experience resort-style living with access to the 14-acre crystal lagoon, sandy beaches, water slides, kayak and paddleboard access, and a swim-up bar. This property includes the Beachwalk townhome membership, offering full amenities with significantly lower monthly fees compared to other units. Clubhouse initiation fee: $3,750 (paid at closing). Additional amenities include a beachfront clubhouse, fitness center, yoga studio, tennis courts, walking trails, and more all within a golf-cart-friendly community. Ideally located in St. Johns County, just minutes from shopping, dining, and daily essentials.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,923 · $494/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,923 · $494/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,388
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$5,923
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,191
− Management
−$2,191
− HOA
−$6,984
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$14,230
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,415
After-tax cash flow
$-6,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in ready, barely lived-in townhome in Grand Isles offers a seamless living experience with modern finishes and resort-style amenities. The home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed, making it an ideal investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience for both buyers and tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can save energy and attract eco-conscious buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Install smart locks — Smart locks can improve security and convenience for both buyers and tenants.
  • Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can save energy and attract eco-conscious buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
75,016
Household income
$150,736
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
727.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.54%
Current HPI
261.2552
Rent YoY
▬ 0.00%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $270,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $279,900 realMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $289,900 realMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $305,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+20.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,923 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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