6023 Hamilton Bridge Rd · Milton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located between Pace and Milton. Well kept property needs very little TLC. Priced to sell. Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed Days 8-12: Offers ONLY from NSP buyers, Municipalities, Non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers
Key facts
- One story layout
- Brick exterior
- Single family home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Public water
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Not attached to another property; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Paved, county-maintained road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approximately 12' x 13')
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Eat-in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#166 in FL, #2,480 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $210k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,165
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6090 Ashton Woods Cir | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (-3%) | 6mo | $332,625 | $209 | 82 |
| 6151 Ashton Woods Cir | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,653 (+0%) | 6mo | $253,500 | $153 | 79 |
| 6062 Hamilton Bridge Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-6%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $227 | 78 |
| 5970 Gillum Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-1%) | 1mo | $334,900 | $206 | 74 |
| 5129 Goshawk Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (+13%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $151 | 67 |
| 5234 Hawks Nest Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-4%) | 5mo | $267,500 | $170 | 67 |
| 6171 Young Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (-4%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $152 | 65 |
| 5149 Westport Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-11%) | 2mo | $274,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 5980 Grandview Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (+5%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 5027 Barbara Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,845 (+12%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 6222 Cottage Woods Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,544 (-6%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $146 | 60 |
| 5271 Goshawk Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (-11%) | 3mo | $260,500 | $178 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-25,920
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-13,733
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32570
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,010 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5105 Westport Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6218 Cottage Woods Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4851 Jaimee Leigh Dr Milton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $1,895 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4718 Lemoyne Vista Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5837 Berryhill Rd Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,950 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5555 Hannah St Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5432 Homestead Dr Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5723 Maggie Rose Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5723 Maggie Rose Cir Milton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5357 Locklin Ave Milton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-03-04price $210,000
-
2026-02-06$220,000 Active
-
2010-08-27soldstatus $117,900 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Conveniently located between Pace and Milton. Well kept property needs very little TLC. Priced to sell. Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed Days 8-12: Offers ONLY from NSP buyers, Municipalities, Non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers
-
2010-07-01$117,900 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Conveniently located between Pace and Milton. Well kept property needs very little TLC. Priced to sell. Days 1-7: Offers will not be reviewed Days 8-12: Offers ONLY from NSP buyers, Municipalities, Non-profit organizations and Owner-occupants will be reviewed. Days 13+: We will consider offers from all buyers
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-07-11$148,000
-
2007-05-22historical
-
2006-12-22$148,000
-
2006-11-22soldstatus $118,000
-
2006-05-19$137,000
-
2000-10-04soldstatus $69,000
-
2000-09-29soldstatus $69,000
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2000-05-25soldstatus $225,000
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2000-05-25soldstatus $180,000
-
2000-05-05$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,929
- − Management
- −$1,929
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$1,815
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Milton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #2480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 69,025
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,197
- Household income
- $77,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 590.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.06%
- Current HPI
- 287.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.70%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+180.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $210,000 PARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $220,000 PARMLS
- 2010-08-27 Sold (MLS) $117,900 PARMLS
- 2010-07-01 Listed $117,900 PARMLS
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2007-07-11 Listed $148,000 PARMLS
- 2007-05-22 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2006-12-22 Listed $148,000 PARMLS
- 2006-11-22 Sold (MLS) $118,000 PARMLS
- 2006-05-19 Listed $137,000 PARMLS
- 2000-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-29 Sold (MLS) $69,000 PARMLS
- 2000-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-05 Listed $74,900 PARMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $140 · +27.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…