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11149 Northlawn St
B Composite 73.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$50,000

11149 Northlawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,474 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1917 3,920 sqft lot Est $46k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom brick property presents a compelling opportunity for the investor or owner-occupant looking to add value and build equity. With its solid construction, generous lot size, and strong bones, the home offers the kind of upside that serious buyers recognize quickly. After rehab, projected rental income is estimated at approximately $1,200/month - making this an attractive addition to any buy-and-hold portfolio. The large footprint gives you flexibility: whether you're envisioning updated interiors, added curb appeal, or a complete repositioning, the canvas is here. The property does require work, and the price reflects that. This is an opportunity for the right buyer to come in, execute a vision, and walk away with a performing asset at well below market-rate acquisition cost. Key Highlights: 3 bedrooms | Brick construction Large property with strong rental potential Projected rent ~$1,200/month post-rehab Priced to move - motivated seller Showing Requirements: Proof of funds required prior to scheduling a showing. Documentation must be dated within the last 30 days. Serious inquiries only.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1917
  • Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by Utica Realty LLC

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story layout; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 105 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Ground-level entry with steps

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $50k implies a 151% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
19.80%
Cash-on-cash
48.23%
DSCR
3.15
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,694
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12303 Cloverlawn St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,454 (-1%) 4mo $58,500 $40 79
12162 Kentucky St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,415 (-4%) 4mo $42,000 $30 74
12351 Cherrylawn St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,418 (-4%) 8mo $109,500 $77 71
11931 Wisconsin St 0.23mi 3/3.0 1,407 (-4%) 5mo $135,900 $97 70
10163 Monica St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,486 (+1%) 8mo $46,000 $31 64
12629 Washburn St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,392 (-6%) 7mo $75,000 $54 58
10155 Monica St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,535 (+4%) 8mo $46,000 $30 56
12625 Monica St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,600 (+8%) 2mo $48,000 $30 50
10405 Orangelawn St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,350 (-8%) 3mo $7,000 $5 49
12027 Manor St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,340 (-9%) 3mo $86,750 $65 47
10340 Maplelawn St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-12%) 5mo $27,000 $21 44
12066 Monica St 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,632 (+11%) 8mo $35,000 $21 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.1%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$63,116
Equity at exit
$45,044
10-year hold
IRR
55.7%
Equity multiple
12.27×
Total profit
$157,784
Equity at exit
$97,139

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,214 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,361/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $502
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 44d 1 0.30mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 15d 1 0.39mi
12703 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1365 $1,053 $0.77 20d 1 0.51mi
12123 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 24d 1 0.62mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 0.63mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 24d 1 0.63mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 5d 1 0.65mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 24d 1 0.66mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.66mi
12415 Monica St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.66mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 44d 1 0.73mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.73mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 0.77mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.77mi
12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 22d 1 0.80mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 44d 1 0.83mi
13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,200 $0.96 5d 1 0.92mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 0.93mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.95mi
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 12d 1 0.97mi
13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 44d 1 0.98mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 5d 1 0.99mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 20d 1 1.02mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 2d 1 1.06mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 17d 1 1.06mi
11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 44d 1 1.07mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 44d 1 1.07mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 5d 1 1.08mi
4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 1.10mi
4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.14mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 17d 1 1.16mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 1.21mi
4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,000 $0.80 44d 1 1.23mi
4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 44d 1 1.24mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 44d 1 1.25mi
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 20d 1 1.31mi
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.33mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 17d 1 1.38mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 24d 1 1.39mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 17d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    listed $50,000 Active
  15. 2026-05-17
    listed $50,000 Active 1122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1122 chars)

    This 3-bedroom brick property presents a compelling opportunity for the investor or owner-occupant looking to add value and build equity. With its solid construction, generous lot size, and strong bones, the home offers the kind of upside that serious buyers recognize quickly. After rehab, projected rental income is estimated at approximately $1,200/month - making this an attractive addition to any buy-and-hold portfolio. The large footprint gives you flexibility: whether you're envisioning updated interiors, added curb appeal, or a complete repositioning, the canvas is here. The property does require work, and the price reflects that. This is an opportunity for the right buyer to come in, execute a vision, and walk away with a performing asset at well below market-rate acquisition cost. Key Highlights: 3 bedrooms | Brick construction Large property with strong rental potential Projected rent ~$1,200/month post-rehab Priced to move - motivated seller Showing Requirements: Proof of funds required prior to scheduling a showing. Documentation must be dated within the last 30 days. Serious inquiries only.

  16. 2004-04-22
    soldstatus $19,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    NICE COLONIAL WITH FENCED YARD AND BASEMENT. NEEDS WORK. SOLD AS IS. BUYER/BUYER``S AGENT TOINVESTIGATE ALL INFO WHICH IS ESTIMATE ONLY! ASWITH ALL HOMES SHOW WITH CAUTION DURINGDAYLIGHT AND BRING FLASHLIGHTS!

  17. 2004-04-13
    soldstatus $19,900
  18. 2004-02-25
    historical
  19. 2004-02-25
    historical
  20. 2004-02-23
    historical 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    NICE COLONIAL WITH FENCED YARD AND BASEMENT. NEEDS WORK. SOLD AS IS. BUYER/BUYER``S AGENT TOINVESTIGATE ALL INFO WHICH IS ESTIMATE ONLY! ASWITH ALL HOMES SHOW WITH CAUTION DURINGDAYLIGHT AND BRING FLASHLIGHTS!

  21. 2003-12-31
    listed $19,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    NICE COLONIAL WITH FENCED YARD AND BASEMENT. NEEDS WORK. SOLD AS IS. BUYER/BUYER``S AGENT TOINVESTIGATE ALL INFO WHICH IS ESTIMATE ONLY! ASWITH ALL HOMES SHOW WITH CAUTION DURINGDAYLIGHT AND BRING FLASHLIGHTS!

  22. 2003-12-31
    listed $19,900
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    NICE COLONIAL WITH FENCED YARD AND BASEMENT. NEEDS WORK. SOLD AS IS. BUYER/BUYER``S AGENT TOINVESTIGATE ALL INFO WHICH IS ESTIMATE ONLY! ASWITH ALL HOMES SHOW WITH CAUTION DURINGDAYLIGHT AND BRING FLASHLIGHTS!

  23. 2003-12-02
    historical
  24. 2003-11-25
    listed $24,900
  25. 2003-11-25
    listed $24,900
  26. 2003-08-01
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,361 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,361 · $113/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,568
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,361
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,529
After-tax cash flow
$5,223/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-22 Sold (MLS) $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-13 Sold (MLS) $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-02-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-02-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-02-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-12-31 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-12-31 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-12-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-25 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-25 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-08-01 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,361 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…