1018 Pershing Rd · Zanesville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming lot with house sitting at the end of the street, covered front porch, with tree for shade! Home features 3 bedrooms and one bath, new electric forced air furnace and central air conditioning and new roof in 2025, public utilities and full basement. Rented $650/Month.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Full basement
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.3% in Zanesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#290 in OH, #4,764 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, commute F.
- Zanesville City (town): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #570 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Muskingum County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskingum County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $99k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.41%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $15,765
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $59,868
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43701
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-06$99,000 Active
-
2020-11-04historical
-
2008-08-29$20,000
-
2008-08-15historical
-
2008-02-15$20,000
-
1997-10-15soldstatus $55,000
-
1997-06-11soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,054 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,054
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,313
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,035
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Zanesville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904517
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,695
- Composite
- 27.13/100
- National rank
- #7035
- State rank
- #570 of 656 in OH
Livability — Zanesville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #290
- US rank
- #4764
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zanesville, OH
- County
- Muskingum County · 56,402 people
- City population
- 56,402
- Metro
- Zanesville, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,402
- Household income
- $57,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1619.0
Population outlook (Muskingum County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,625 people
- By 2030
- 84,592 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 81,288 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 76,751 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 64,143 · -25.1%
- By 2100
- 47,598 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskingum
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.41%
- Current HPI
- 298.9994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Zanesville, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+110.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-06 Listed $99,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-11-04 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-08-29 Listed $20,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-08-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-02-15 Listed $20,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,054 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…