334 Marquette Ct · Crozet, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A short walk to downtown Crozet on the Crozet Trails, through Crozet Park, this two bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome in Westhall offers great space, and a fantastic location. Hardwood floors on part of main level, new carpet throughout. A wonderful location and home in one of the most popular and convenient neighborhoods in Crozet. Short drive to Charlottesville, using the new Eastern Connector, or a quick walk, ride, or drive to downtown Crozet, restaurants, coffee, Library.
Key facts
- $157 HOA
- Built 2008
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Quarterly association fee includes common area maintenance, insurance, road maintenance, snow removal, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Attached townhouse; Two levels; Two or more common walls; Entry level on first floor
- Construction: HardiPlank and stick-built construction; Architectural roof; Slab foundation; Built as a townhouse
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Heat pump
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-151 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (19.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.8% in Crozet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#48 in VA, #1,158 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Albemarle County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #14 of 131 in VA (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Crozet Elementary (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 514 students, 18% FRL); Joseph T. Henley Middle (math 82% / reading 89%, grade A+, #10 of 342 statewide, top 3%, 808 students, 13% FRL); Western Albemarle High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 1,158 students, 13% FRL).
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 810 units permitted in Albemarle County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albemarle County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 40% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $207k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.19%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,152
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5462 Hill Top St | 0.57mi | 2/2.5 | 1,244 (+2%) | 21mo | $300,000 | $241 | 53 |
| 142 Pioneer Ln | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 | 1,152 (-6%) | 19mo | $315,000 | $273 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-57,392
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-62,248
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22932
- Home prices YoY
- -25.3%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$157
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $-151
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-151 | +5% $-234 | +10% $-318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-338 | -5% $-245 | +0% $-151 | +5% $-57 | +10% $36 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2 | -0.5pp $-76 | base $-151 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5709 St George Ave Crozet, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $2,100 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1045 Heathercroft Cir Ste 409 Crozet, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,700 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1045 Heathercroft Cir Ste 404 Crozet, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $2,475 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1045 Heathercroft Cir Ste 306 Crozet, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,300 | $2.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1045 Heathercroft Cir Ste 209 Crozet, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1045 Heathercroft Cir Apt 208 Crozet, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,995 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $157 · $1,884/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $295,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $295,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $295,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $295,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$295,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,376 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,419 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$43/yr (+$4/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$2,376
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,277
- − Management
- −$2,277
- − HOA
- −$1,884
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$6,931
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,663
- After-tax cash flow
- $-148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albemarle County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100090
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,851
- Composite
- 62.28/100
- National rank
- #698
- State rank
- #14 of 131 in VA
Livability — Crozet
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #1158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crozet, VA
- County
- Albemarle County · 129,350 people
- City population
- 9,148
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,148
- Household income
- $115,545
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 168.0
Population outlook (Albemarle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,403 people
- By 2030
- 125,829 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 137,705 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 148,058 · +24.0%
- By 2075
- 172,223 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 185,628 · +55.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Iranian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Albemarle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.1) · D 66.3% · R 32.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.1 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.03%
- Current HPI
- 254.0549
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-67.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $295,000 CAAR
- 2020-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $207,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $207,000 CAAR
- 2020-05-20 Listed $210,000 CAAR
- 2008-05-22 Listed $189,900 CAAR
- 2006-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $919,725 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,376 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…