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702 W Walnut St
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

702 W Walnut St · Carbondale, IL 62901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · Other · 182 Days on market
4,950 sqft lot ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BANK FORECLOSURE! Needs TLC, but can make a nice home or investment property. As a previously rented home, this might be available for the City Rental Conversion Grant to convert to single family. A large living room, dining room, well lit kitchen, enclosed back porch entry, carport and full basement suitable for mechanicals and storage are some pluses that other homes don't have. The side alley adds some space between homes, too. As a foreclosure, no disclosures are required.

Key facts

  • Well lit kitchen
  • Carport
  • Large living room

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMWELL LIT KITCHENENCLOSED BACK PORCH ENTRYCARPORTFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; More than 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (9 x 13) with tile flooring
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (Master: 10 x 13, Bedroom 2: 10 x 13, Bedroom 3: 8 x 13)
  • Flooring: Carpet in primary and second bedrooms; Other flooring in third bedroom; Tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Separate dining room; Full unfinished basement with egress window

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
13.48%
Cash-on-cash
25.66%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$12,526
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$42,052
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$958 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,096/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $579
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $314 +0% $299 +5% $285 +10% $271
Rent -10% $224 -5% $262 +0% $299 +5% $337 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $312 base $299 +0.5pp $286 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL 3.0 1.0 622 $750 $1.20 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 165 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 164 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 163 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 162 DOM
  16. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-06
    historical
  18. 2026-01-05
    historical
  19. 2025-08-31
    listed Active
  20. 2025-02-05
    soldstatus $115,533
  21. 2021-08-06
    historical
  22. 2013-11-12
    soldstatus $22,500
  23. 2013-11-12
    soldstatus $22,500
  24. 2013-08-05
    listed $39,900
  25. 2013-08-05
    listed $39,900
  26. 2010-02-01
    soldstatus $221,760
  27. 2001-12-11
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,096 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,096 · $175/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,500
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$2,096
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$920
− Management
−$920
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$3,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$734
After-tax cash flow
$2,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $115,533 Public Records
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-12 Sold (MLS) $22,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-12 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-05 Listed $39,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-05 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $221,760 Public Records
  • 2001-12-11 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,096 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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