604 Somerset Dr · Flushing, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained ranch in the highly sought-after Flushing School District! This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath home has been lovingly cared for and offers ample space with a cozy living room, dining room, kitchen with appliances included and a partially finished full basement with recreation room, a 1/2 bath and tons of storage space. The 1 car garage also provides extra storage space with direct access into the kitchen. Outside, you'll fall in love with the fenced in, large, beautifully landscaped yard-perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or enjoying family gatherings. Last but not least, the best part of the outdoor space is the awesome covered patio, with room for several people to e
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access (1 garage parking space)
- Utilities: Natural gas heat fuel; Public water; Public sanitary sewer
- Home design: Residential single-story; Built in 1966; Below-grade finished space available
- Construction: Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Frontage on a road; Located within city limits; Large lot (approximately 75 ft frontage)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (approx. 11 x 10; 10 x 10; 9-wide)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one lavatory (two total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central A/C
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Basement present (partially finished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.4% in Flushing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#140 in MI, #3,431 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Flushing Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #295 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.36%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,508
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 Spring Ln | 0.09mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,688 (+1%) | 15mo | $219,900 | $130 | 77 |
| 527 Spring Ln | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,444 (-13%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $159 | 72 |
| 538 Autumn Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-14%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 112 S Mckinley Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (-1%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $67 | 59 |
| 220 Oak St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (-4%) | 16mo | $170,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 505 Mark Dr | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,526 (-8%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $131 | 53 |
| 214 Terrace St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-4%) | 13mo | $223,000 | $139 | 53 |
| 218 N Maple St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,732 (+4%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 124 S Beech St St | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (-10%) | 19mo | $169,900 | $113 | 38 |
| 320 E Main St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,872 (+12%) | 11mo | $212,000 | $113 | 36 |
| 415 Mill St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,896 (+14%) | 19mo | $115,500 | $61 | 34 |
| 406 Windmill Pt | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,884 (+13%) | 10mo | $258,000 | $137 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,464
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $31,065
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48433
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,509/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $536 | -5% $481 | +0% $426 | +5% $370 | +10% $315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $252 | -5% $339 | +0% $426 | +5% $512 | +10% $599 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $524 | -0.5pp $475 | base $426 | +0.5pp $375 | +1.0pp $324 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Carpenter Rd Flushing, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2244 | $2,200 | $0.98 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03status $194,900 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $194,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29historical $194,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,509 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,755 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$246/yr (+$20/mo · 9.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,509
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable income
- $2,105
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flushing Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614550
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,883
- Composite
- 29.48/100
- National rank
- #6506
- State rank
- #295 of 540 in MI
Livability — Flushing
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #3431
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flushing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,756
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.10%
- Current HPI
- 175.93
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Coming Soon $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,509 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…