2133 N 27th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 24 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.02%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,689
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2140 N 27th St | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,680 (-0%) | 1mo | $157,500 | $94 | 86 |
| 2420 N 27th St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,668 (-1%) | 7mo | $21,000 | $13 | 73 |
| 2463 N 22nd St | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 | 1,678 (-0%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $33 | 68 |
| 2534 N 28th St | 0.45mi | 5/1.0 | 1,571 (-7%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $45 | 62 |
| 2448 N 28th St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,812 (+8%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 2518 N 27th St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,582 (-6%) | 18mo | $130,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 2451 N 26th St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,780 (+6%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $90 | 49 |
| 1641 N 36th St | 0.71mi | 6/1.0 (+1) | 1,719 (+2%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 2724 W Meinecke Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,929 (+15%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 2009 N 37th St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,909 (+13%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $83 | 34 |
| 2401 N 37th St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,457 (-13%) | 8mo | $133,000 | $91 | 32 |
| 2206 N 36th St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,932 (+15%) | 12mo | $178,000 | $92 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $38,275
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.83×
- Total profit
- $130,583
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53208
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$306 /mo · $3,678/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $654
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $915 | -5% $676 | +0% $654 | +5% $631 | +10% $608 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $512 | -5% $583 | +0% $654 | +5% $724 | +10% $795 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $694 | -0.5pp $674 | base $654 | +0.5pp $633 | +1.0pp $612 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2432 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1876 | $1,600 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2308 W Clarke St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2478-2480 W Juneau Ave Unit 2478 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,495 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2137 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-03-11$80,000 Active
-
2025-10-13status Pending 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-10-13historical 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-09-18$65,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This is a package deal and we will prefer cash or hard money lending, All 9 properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS nos. 1935800,1935803, 1935804,1935806, 1935812, 1935813, 1935817,1935822,1935823
-
2025-09-08status Pending 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929843
-
2025-09-06historical 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929843
-
2025-08-05$60,000 Active 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
This is a package of properties that must be purchased altogether. No exceptions. MLS 1929833MLS 1929834MLS 1929836MLS 1929838MLS 1929839MLS 1929841MLS 1929843
-
2024-03-30status Pending
-
2024-03-29historical
-
2024-03-21$84,900 Active
-
2023-08-12historical
-
2023-03-11$104,900 Active
-
2022-03-02soldstatus $713,000
-
2022-03-02soldstatus $713,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,678 · $306/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,678 · $306/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,463
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$3,678
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $7,143
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,714
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,201
- Household income
- $52,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1568.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.92%
- Current HPI
- 333.7268
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.78%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-88.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $80,000 METROMLS
- 2025-10-13 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $65,000 METROMLS
- 2025-09-08 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-09-06 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $60,000 METROMLS
- 2024-03-30 Pending — METROMLS
- 2024-03-29 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $84,900 METROMLS
- 2023-08-12 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2023-03-11 Listed $104,900 METROMLS
- 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $713,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $713,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2024): $3,678 · -49.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…