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502 W Jefferson St
D+ Composite 46.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$15,000

502 W Jefferson St · Mangum, OK 73554
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1940 7,013 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."

Key facts

  • 7,013 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 122 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Byars addition; Property on south side of Jefferson (directions); Manual geocode source
  • Financial info: Listing offered as-is; Cash only; Not assumable; Loan qualification not available
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Utilities: No storm shelter
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Existing property
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; No exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Two living areas; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $880 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 76.7% vs local median 7.6% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $368 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.34%
Cap rate
76.67%
Cash-on-cash
251.34%
DSCR
12.18
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,254
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
429 W Jefferson St 0.08mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,328 (-2%) 22mo $150,000 $64 70
120 W Tyler St 0.42mi 4/3.0 2,328 (-2%) 19mo $135,000 $58 58
231 W Polk St 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,087 (-12%) 10mo $145,000 $69 53
422 S Pennsylvania Ave 0.55mi 4/2.0 2,200 (-7%) 13mo $196,000 $89 52
311 W Polk St 0.35mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,154 (-9%) 10mo $175,000 $81 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.85×
Total profit
$53,964
Equity at exit
$2,603
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
29.46×
Total profit
$119,524
Equity at exit
$1,935

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73554

Home prices YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $282/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$880

Break-even live

Break-even rent $137
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 25%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $888 -5% $884 +0% $880 +5% $875 +10% $871
Rent -10% $781 -5% $830 +0% $880 +5% $929 +10% $979
Rate -1.0pp $887 -0.5pp $884 base $880 +0.5pp $876 +1.0pp $872

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $15,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,000 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $15,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $15,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,000 Active 105 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,000 Active 104 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,000 Active 103 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,000 Active 102 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $19,000
  17. 2026-03-09
    price $24,000
  18. 2026-02-18
    listed $30,000 Active
  19. 2025-04-22
    historical
  20. 2025-03-26
    price $27,000
  21. 2025-03-06
    price $30,000
  22. 2025-02-12
    price $35,000
  23. 2025-01-23
    price $45,000
  24. 2025-01-20
    price $49,000
  25. 2025-01-06
    listed $55,000 Active
  26. 2023-07-28
    soldstatus $28,000 Closed 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."

  27. 2023-07-03
    status Pending 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."

  28. 2023-06-01
    listed $40,000 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."

  29. 2018-05-09
    soldstatus $10,000
  30. 2018-04-10
    listed $18,000
  31. 2017-06-05
    historical
  32. 2015-11-03
    listed $20,000
  33. 2009-07-06
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$282 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$282 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,009
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$282
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$10,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,634
After-tax cash flow
$7,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mangum
NCES district ID
4018780
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,568
Composite
22.85/100
National rank
#8012
State rank
#89 of 270 in OK

Livability — Mangum

Score
65/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#13248

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mangum, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,361

Population outlook (Greer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,904 people
By 2030
5,869 · -0.6%
By 2040
5,790 · -1.9%
By 2050
5,712 · -3.3%
By 2075
5,196 · -12.0%
By 2100
4,326 · -26.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Greer

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.3pp toward R · 2008: -46.5pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+46.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.45%
Current HPI
88.9252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $19,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $24,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $30,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-04-22 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2025-03-26 Price Changed $27,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-03-06 Price Changed $30,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-02-12 Price Changed $35,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $45,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-20 Price Changed $49,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-06 Listed $55,000 MLSOK
  • 2023-07-28 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MLSOK
  • 2023-07-03 Pending MLSOK
  • 2023-06-01 Listed $40,000 MLSOK
  • 2018-05-09 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MLSOK
  • 2018-04-10 Listed $18,000 MLSOK
  • 2017-06-05 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2015-11-03 Listed $20,000 MLSOK
  • 2009-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $282 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…