502 W Jefferson St · Mangum, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."
Key facts
- 7,013 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 122 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Byars addition; Property on south side of Jefferson (directions); Manual geocode source
- Financial info: Listing offered as-is; Cash only; Not assumable; Loan qualification not available
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: No storm shelter
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Existing property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Combination foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Corner lot; No exterior features listed
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Two living areas; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $880 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 76.7% vs local median 7.6% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $368 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 76.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 251.34%
- DSCR
- 12.18
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,254
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 W Jefferson St | 0.08mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,328 (-2%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $64 | 70 |
| 120 W Tyler St | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,328 (-2%) | 19mo | $135,000 | $58 | 58 |
| 231 W Polk St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,087 (-12%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $69 | 53 |
| 422 S Pennsylvania Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-7%) | 13mo | $196,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 311 W Polk St | 0.35mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,154 (-9%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $81 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.85×
- Total profit
- $53,964
- Equity at exit
- $2,603
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.46×
- Total profit
- $119,524
- Equity at exit
- $1,935
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73554
- Home prices YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $282/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $880
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $888 | -5% $884 | +0% $880 | +5% $875 | +10% $871 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $781 | -5% $830 | +0% $880 | +5% $929 | +10% $979 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $887 | -0.5pp $884 | base $880 | +0.5pp $876 | +1.0pp $872 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $15,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $15,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $15,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $15,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $19,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $19,000
-
2026-03-09price $24,000
-
2026-02-18$30,000 Active
-
2025-04-22historical
-
2025-03-26price $27,000
-
2025-03-06price $30,000
-
2025-02-12price $35,000
-
2025-01-23price $45,000
-
2025-01-20price $49,000
-
2025-01-06$55,000 Active
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $28,000 Closed 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."
-
2023-07-03status Pending 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."
-
2023-06-01$40,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
This spacious home is on a corner lot and in a peaceful neighborhood in Mangum. The front door enters into a very large living/family room with lots of space. Off of the living room, there is a formal dining room. Each of the four bedrooms is roomy and the master bedroom has a fireplace. There is one bathroom which has a large soaking tub and shower. This home also has the potential to be an investment property. It is being sold “AS IS."
-
2018-05-09soldstatus $10,000
-
2018-04-10$18,000
-
2017-06-05historical
-
2015-11-03$20,000
-
2009-07-06soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $282 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $282 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$282
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $10,974
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,634
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mangum
- NCES district ID
- 4018780
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,568
- Composite
- 22.85/100
- National rank
- #8012
- State rank
- #89 of 270 in OK
Livability — Mangum
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #13248
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mangum, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,361
Population outlook (Greer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,904 people
- By 2030
- 5,869 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 5,790 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 5,712 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 5,196 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 4,326 · -26.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Greer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.3pp toward R · 2008: -46.5pp · 2024: -65.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.7 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+46.7 2008: R+46.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.45%
- Current HPI
- 88.9252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-5.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $19,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $24,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-18 Listed $30,000 MLSOK
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $27,000 MLSOK
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $30,000 MLSOK
- 2025-02-12 Price Changed $35,000 MLSOK
- 2025-01-23 Price Changed $45,000 MLSOK
- 2025-01-20 Price Changed $49,000 MLSOK
- 2025-01-06 Listed $55,000 MLSOK
- 2023-07-28 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MLSOK
- 2023-07-03 Pending — MLSOK
- 2023-06-01 Listed $40,000 MLSOK
- 2018-05-09 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MLSOK
- 2018-04-10 Listed $18,000 MLSOK
- 2017-06-05 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2015-11-03 Listed $20,000 MLSOK
- 2009-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $282 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…