🏗️ New Construction
Plan 7 Plan · Spanish Springs, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$661,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you have been thinking that the time might be right to upgrade to a newer and perhaps even larger home, the community of Silver Canyon could be just the right choice. One of the most popular features here are the large, expansive homesites which provide space to keep your recreational "toys" right at home. Situated north of Silver Canyon Drive and Pyramid Highway in Sparks, Nevada, Silver Canyon is just a 20 minute drive from a fishing, boating and myriad of recreation at Pyramid Lake - one of the largest natural lakes in the state of Nevada. Just a short drive away is all of the amenities of Sparks and Reno, including shopping, entertainment, parks, and employment opportunities. Whether you enjoy relaxing at one of the many local parks, or taking the family for a day of fun at an amusement park, there is truly something for everyone in the nearby area. There are also several excellent golf courses not far from Silver Canyon, including Kiley Links Golf Course, Wildcreek Golf Course, and, most notable, Red Hawk Golf and Resort. We take great pride in building our homes to the highest level of quality. When you purchase a home in Silver Canyon, you are not just purchasing a home. You are investing in peace of mind and the knowledge that your family will have a place to call home and build memories for many years to come. All our homes are built for comfort and style, featuring exceptional finishes. Find out more about the beautiful homes in Silver Canyon. We would be pleased to introduce you and give you a tour.
Key facts
- Amusement park
- Golf courses
- Local parks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $662k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-590 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $628k (5.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $549k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $549k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Spanish Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#35 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alyce Taylor Elementary (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #42 of 402 statewide, top 10%, 452 students, 27% FRL); Yvonne Shaw Middle School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #14 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 712 students, 20% FRL); Spanish Springs High School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #67 of 131 statewide, top 53%, 2,057 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,493/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($124k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 414 days — a 12% lower offer ($582k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 414 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.55%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $713,269
- List price
- $661,900
- Delta
- -7.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2314 Seaberry Dr #02 | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,808 (0%) | 2mo | $850,891 | $303 | 98 |
| 2525 Coltra Springs Dr | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 | 2,808 (0%) | 3mo | $728,552 | $259 | 86 |
| 2330 Hickory Dr | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,458 (-12%) | 5mo | $668,929 | $272 | 70 |
| 11541 Hacienda Ridge Way | 0.43mi | 4/3.5 | 2,969 (+6%) | 2mo | $890,000 | $300 | 67 |
| 2356 Millville Dr | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,574 (-8%) | 2mo | $739,000 | $287 | 58 |
| 11682 Vista Park Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,636 (-6%) | 2mo | $765,000 | $290 | 53 |
| 302 Desert Chukar Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 3,035 (+8%) | 3mo | $825,000 | $272 | 53 |
| 25 Martell Pl | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 3,044 (+8%) | 6mo | $1,170,000 | $384 | 52 |
| 734 Hallow Pointe Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,554 (-9%) | 3mo | $725,000 | $284 | 52 |
| 918 Garden Pond Way | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,554 (-9%) | 3mo | $760,000 | $298 | 48 |
| 327 Grafton Dr | 0.60mi | 4/3.5 | 3,213 (+14%) | 1mo | $775,000 | $241 | 45 |
| 55 Nives Ct | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,440 (-13%) | 6mo | $1,251,000 | $513 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-153,079
- Equity at exit
- $106,351
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-181,354
- Equity at exit
- $61,670
Cash invested: $199,715 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 29 active · 35 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.0 mo (25%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $724,000 ($281/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 100 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 89441
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,493 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,740
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$892 /mo · $10,699/yr
- Insurance
- −$297
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,153
- Net cashflow
- $-590
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-97 | -5% $-344 | +0% $-590 | +5% $-837 | +10% $-1,083 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,024 | -5% $-807 | +0% $-590 | +5% $-373 | +10% $-156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-231 | -0.5pp $-409 | base $-590 | +0.5pp $-775 | +1.0pp $-963 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $178,317
- Closing costs
- $21,398
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Calle de la Plata Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $7,900 | $3.84 | 119d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 640 Allerton Way Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 109d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 325 Pah Rah Ridge Dr Sparks, NV | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3493 | $4,000 | $1.15 | 109d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $661,900 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $661,900 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $661,900 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $661,900 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $661,900 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $661,900 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $661,900 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $661,900 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $661,900 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $661,900 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $661,900 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $661,900 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $661,900 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $661,900 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $661,900 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $661,900 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $661,900 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $661,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $661,900 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $661,900 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $661,900 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $661,900 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $661,900 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $661,900 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $661,900 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $661,900 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $661,900 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $661,900 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $661,900 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $661,900 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $661,900 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $661,900 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $661,900 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $661,900 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $661,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $661,900 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $661,900 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $661,900 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $661,900 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $661,900 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $661,900 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $661,900 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $661,900 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $661,900 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $661,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $661,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $661,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $661,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $661,900 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $661,900 Active 353 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,911
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,954
- − Property taxes
- −$10,699
- − Insurance
- −$3,566
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,273
- − Management
- −$5,273
- − Depreciation
- −$20,750
- Taxable loss
- −$19,604
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,705
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no major repairs needed. It is move-in ready and has the potential to be further enhanced with landscaping and painting to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home look more appealing ↑
- Both Lighting — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washoe County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200480
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,025
- Composite
- 32.44/100
- National rank
- #5721
- State rank
- #6 of 17 in NV
Livability — Spanish Springs
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #11102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spanish Springs, NV
- County
- Washoe · 499,260 people
- City population
- 13,854
- Metro
- Reno, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,854
- Household income
- $123,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Washoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 499,260 people
- By 2030
- 523,429 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 564,420 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 595,548 · +19.3%
- By 2075
- 652,375 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 661,518 · +32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washoe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.3% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.0 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+1.2 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.99%
- Current HPI
- 330.2277
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-06 Listed $661,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…