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827-837 S 20TH St 6-Plex
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$425,000

827-837 S 20TH St · Newark, NJ 07108-2270
30 bd · 18.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · MultiFamily · 108 Days on market
Built 1957

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

This property has been maintained. It is being sold in AS IS condition.

Key facts

  • Built 1957
  • Listed 108 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Three-unit property; Reported gross and net operating income listed as 0 and operating expenses listed as 0; Unit rents reported: Unit 1 rents $1,500, Unit 3 rents $1,000, Unit 2 rent listed as 0; Unit 1 lease expires December 31, 2025; Unit 2 lease expires December 31, 2025; Unit 3 lease expires December 31, 2025

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Natural gas; Cable TV available; Garbage included
  • Home design: Three-story building; Renovated in 2000; Green exterior color; Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Approximate year built
  • Construction: Aluminum siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Approximate construction year
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Corner lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: Gas range/oven, refrigerator; Unit 2: Gas range/oven, refrigerator; Unit 3: Gas range/oven, refrigerator; Unit 3: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl/linoleum; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water radiators; Oil tank below ground; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Blinds; Carbon monoxide detector; Fire extinguisher; Smoke detector; Vinyl/linoleum floors; Wood floors; Electric water heater; Unfinished basement (has basement)
  • Laundry & utility: Tenants pay electricity and gas for some units; owners pay heat and water on some units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6 × 5-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $425k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $332/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $425k).
  • Recommended offer: $387k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: housing D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ann Street School (math 13% / reading 34%, grade F, #921 of 1,303 statewide, top 71%, 1,200 students, 78% FRL); East Side High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #357 of 399 statewide, top 90%, 2,255 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $386,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.92%
Cash-on-cash
20.10%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$178,247
Equity at exit
$191,098
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
4.84×
Total profit
$456,814
Equity at exit
$294,505

Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City Newark
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+59
Rent control + strict just-cause.

ZIP-level market 07108-2270

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
34.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,241 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,229
Tax est. 1.5%
$531 /mo · $6,375/yr
Insurance
$177
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,311
Net cashflow
$1,993

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,718
Max offer price $425,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,287 -5% $2,140 +0% $1,993 +5% $1,846 +10% $1,700
Rent -10% $1,500 -5% $1,747 +0% $1,993 +5% $2,240 +10% $2,486
Rate -1.0pp $2,207 -0.5pp $2,101 base $1,993 +0.5pp $1,883 +1.0pp $1,771

6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (6 units) $6,241

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$106,250
Closing costs
$12,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-30
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-19
    status Under Contract
  4. 2025-12-15
    listed $425,000 Active
  5. 2025-12-05
    historical $425,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$74,892
− Mortgage interest
−$23,807
− Property taxes
−$6,375
− Insurance
−$2,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,991
− Management
−$5,991
− Depreciation
−$12,364
Taxable income
$18,239
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,377
After-tax cash flow
$19,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newark Public School District
NCES district ID
3411340
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
14.24/100
National rank
#9449
State rank
#452 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Newark

Score
67/100
State rank
#343
US rank
#11138

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D- Housing D+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, NJ

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
825,042 people
By 2030
834,010 · +1.1%
By 2040
846,221 · +2.6%
By 2050
850,047 · +3.0%
By 2075
837,009 · +1.5%
By 2100
784,345 · -4.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GSMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted GSMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Pending GSMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $425,000 GSMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Coming Soon $425,000 GSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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