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7439 SE 78th Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 56.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$5,000

7439 SE 78th Pl · Trenton, FL 32693
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2023

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

Key facts

  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential property; 1 story
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.48-acre lot; Zoned A-2

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Single-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$241,980) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 294.7% vs local median 4.9% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#207 in FL, #3,078 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gilchrist (rural): math 66% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #9 of 73 in FL (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Gilchrist County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $535 of equity ($35 loan paydown + $500 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gilchrist County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
31.30%
Cap rate
294.75%
Cash-on-cash
1030.19%
DSCR
46.84
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$241,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7544 SE 78th Pl 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,189 (+7%) 2mo $235,000 $198 77
7564 SE 78th Pl 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,030 (-7%) 12mo $235,000 $228 67
7312 SE 78th Pl 0.14mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 6mo $207,000 $216 66
7282 SE 78th Pl 0.17mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 5mo $210,000 $219 65
7389 SE 77th Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,201 (+8%) 15mo $285,000 $237 65
7326 SE 78th Pl 0.34mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 10mo $208,900 $218 54
7296 SE 78th Pl 0.39mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 8mo $209,900 $219 53
7238 SE 78th Pl 0.21mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 19mo $199,500 $208 52
7210 SE 81st Pl 0.37mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 14mo $214,000 $223 49
7268 SE 78th Pl 0.39mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 18mo $199,500 $208 44
7222 SE 78th Pl 0.39mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 19mo $199,500 $208 43
7254 SE 78th Pl 0.39mi 2/2.0 959 (-14%) 19mo $199,500 $208 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
57.64×
Total profit
$79,296
Equity at exit
$4,504
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
124.83×
Total profit
$173,362
Equity at exit
$9,714

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32693

Home prices YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$1,202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $44
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 18%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $5,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-05-28
    listed $5,000 Active
  9. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $229,500 Closed 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    Under Construction. Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

  10. 2023-03-31
    soldstatus $229,500 Closed 905-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    Under Construction. Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

  11. 2023-02-22
    status Pending 905-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    Under Construction. Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

  12. 2023-01-13
    listed $229,500 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

  13. 2023-01-12
    listed $229,500 Active 905-char remark
    Show marketing remark (905 chars)

    Under Construction. Welcome to one of Vision Construction's newest models - The Laredo! This appealing new style features a bright & open floor plan and sits on a generous 1/4 acre lot located 5 minutes from downtown Newberry w/ low Gilchrist County taxes. The home features vaulted ceilings in the living room & master suite, a spacious island kitchen, energy efficient appliances & raised panel custom wood cabinets. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living in the gorgeous Florida weather on your oversized covered lanai perfect for entertaining and right off of the kitchen for the ultimate convenience. The luxury master suite boasts an inviting bathroom w/ double vanities, European style shower & roomy closet. There is no shortage of storage in this home including a sizable laundry area for all of your organizational needs! Home features a 1-car carport and will be ready March 2023!

  14. 2020-04-17
    soldstatus $25,000
  15. 2006-08-21
    soldstatus $123,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,781
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$15,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,660
After-tax cash flow
$10,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilchrist
NCES district ID
1200630
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,610
Composite
53.01/100
National rank
#1522
State rank
#9 of 73 in FL

Livability — Trenton

Score
77/100
State rank
#207
US rank
#3078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,692

Population outlook (Gilchrist County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,730 people
By 2030
17,722 · +-0.0%
By 2040
17,393 · -1.9%
By 2050
16,597 · -6.4%
By 2075
14,300 · -19.3%
By 2100
11,498 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Gilchrist

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.0) · D 15.6% · R 83.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -68.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.0 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+62.8 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.81%
Current HPI
363.4299
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $229,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-31 Sold (MLS) $229,500 DGLMLS
  • 2023-02-22 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-13 Listed $229,500 DGLMLS
  • 2023-01-12 Listed $229,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $123,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+48.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,436 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…