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302 Marshall
C Composite 55.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,500

302 Marshall · Morehouse, MO 63801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,045 sqft · Other public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1955 8,276 sqft lot $86/sqft · 13% above area Est $79k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy 2 bed, 1 bath home on a desirable corner lot! Featuring a new heating unit, this property offers comfort and peace of mind. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for your next investment property, this home checks all the boxes. Affordable, manageable, and full of potential!

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#736 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Sikeston R-6 (town): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #243 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in New Madrid County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • New Madrid County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,130 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.81%
Cash-on-cash
12.56%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,032
List price
$89,500
Delta
13.24%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$2,171
Equity at exit
$13,345
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$23,276
Equity at exit
$7,738

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63801

Home prices YoY
-11.6%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $441/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $688
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,500 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,500 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,500 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,500 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,500 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,500 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,500 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,500 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,500 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,500 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,500 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,500 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,500 Active 53 DOM
  18. 2026-04-07
    listed $95,000 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy 2 bed, 1 bath home on a desirable corner lot! Featuring a new heating unit, this property offers comfort and peace of mind. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or searching for your next investment property, this home checks all the boxes. Affordable, manageable, and full of potential!

  19. 2024-12-08
    listed $94,900 Active
  20. 2023-12-29
    historical
  21. 2023-09-26
    soldstatus
  22. 2023-08-05
    listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$441 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$868 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$427/yr (+$36/mo · 96.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,238
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$441
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$1,774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$426
After-tax cash flow
$2,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sikeston R-6
NCES district ID
2928260
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,800
Composite
27.85/100
National rank
#6879
State rank
#243 of 324 in MO

Livability — Morehouse

Score
55/100
State rank
#736
US rank
#23257

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morehouse, MO
City population
690
Population (ZIP)
22,121

Population outlook (New Madrid County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,712 people
By 2030
15,845 · -5.2%
By 2040
14,152 · -15.3%
By 2050
12,604 · -24.6%
By 2075
9,478 · -43.3%
By 2100
7,157 · -57.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · New Madrid

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.9% · R 76.4%
2008→2024 swing
-38.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+20.3 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.54%
Current HPI
141.0868
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-08 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-29 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-05 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $441 · +63.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…