5303 Westminister Dr · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the potential in this solid 3-bedroom, 1.5 home that’s ready for its next chapter. If you’re an investor searching for your next flip or a strong addition to your rental portfolio, this property checks all the right boxes. With strong bones, a functional layout, and tons of room for improvement, this home is the perfect canvas for your vision. A little TLC will go a long way in transforming this into a high-value property. Whether you choose to renovate and resell or create a long-term income-producing rental. This is the kind of opportunity that doesn’t come around often. Bring your tools, creativity, and investment strategy! The upside is undeniable.
Key facts
- Tons of room
- Strong bones
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.74%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,974
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -17.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Westminister Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-4%) | 2mo | $41,882 | $44 | 75 |
| 22 Harrow Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 970 (-2%) | 2mo | $44,677 | $46 | 72 |
| 7604 Sandra Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,002 (+1%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 48 S Wakefield Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 900 (-9%) | 9mo | $89,059 | $99 | 65 |
| 9 Southern Oaks Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 962 (-3%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $68 | 59 |
| 6614 E Wakefield Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+1%) | 15mo | $81,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 54 Southern Oaks Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-6%) | 10mo | $97,000 | $105 | 56 |
| 6610 E Wakefield Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (+5%) | 12mo | $101,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 19 Harrow Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-11%) | 6mo | $47,000 | $54 | 53 |
| 35 Clifton | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 875 (-11%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $74 | 50 |
| 7 Linkay Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (+9%) | 6mo | $138,000 | $128 | 49 |
| 5901 Lyndell Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,116 (+13%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $54 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,374
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $33,772
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72209
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $903/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6320 Butler Rd Apt 3E Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $750 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 15 Timber Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $975 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 21 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $800 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7 Harrow Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7305 E Wakefield Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5801 W 59th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,173 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 100 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 30 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5701 Dreher Ln Unit 11 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $905 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 15 Rolling Ln Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7414 Mabelvale Pike Unit 20 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $750 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 24 Edgemont Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5806 Southwick Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5301 Southboro Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $750 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $89,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Price Change 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Price Change 182 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Price Change 181 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Price Change 180 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Price Change 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricestatusdays on market $89,000 Price Change 178 DOM
-
2025-12-03$99,000 New Listing 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Unlock the potential in this solid 3-bedroom, 1.5 home that’s ready for its next chapter. If you’re an investor searching for your next flip or a strong addition to your rental portfolio, this property checks all the right boxes. With strong bones, a functional layout, and tons of room for improvement, this home is the perfect canvas for your vision. A little TLC will go a long way in transforming this into a high-value property. Whether you choose to renovate and resell or create a long-term income-producing rental. This is the kind of opportunity that doesn’t come around often. Bring your tools, creativity, and investment strategy! The upside is undeniable.
-
2022-02-02soldstatus $1,730,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $903 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$903
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$442
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,607
- Household income
- $40,231
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1510.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.75%
- Current HPI
- 176.4492
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-94.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
- 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,730,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $903 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…